| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 37:14 | +23 | 29 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34:20 | +14 | 25 | |
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 26:19 | +7 | 25 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25:12 | +13 | 22 | |
| 5 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | +4 | 22 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:20 | +3 | 21 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 19 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 31:26 | +5 | 17 | |
| 9 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 | |
| 10 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 | |
| 11 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 21:17 | +4 | 16 | |
| 12 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 | |
| 14 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 19:20 | -1 | 13 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:29 | -11 | 12 | |
| 16 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:26 | -11 | 12 | |
| 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 11 | |
| 18 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 11 | |
| 19 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 9 | |
| 20 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 7 |
The Den Bosch vs Dordrecht prediction for October 3, 2026, sees the home side as the clear favorite with a 52% win probability. This 1 Eerste Divisie clash kicks off at 19:00, and based on the latest stats and odds, Den Bosch are expected to edge a tight contest.
Den Bosch come into this match with a poor recent record, having lost four of their last five matches. Their form line reads L, W, L, L, L. The only win in that sequence was a 2-1 home victory against Helmond Sport on Sep 18. Defeats against De Graafschap (1-0), Volendam (2-0), Jong PSV Eindhoven (3-1), and a heavy 4-1 home loss to SBV Vitesse Arnhem highlight serious defensive issues.
Dordrecht are also struggling, with an identical recent form pattern of W, L, L, L, L. Their sole recent success was a 3-2 home win over Almere City on Sep 25. Away from home, they have suffered defeats at Oss (3-0), FC Eindhoven (2-1), and a 6-1 thrashing at Volendam. Both teams are desperate for points to turn their seasons around.
The historical head-to-head record favors Den Bosch, who have 14 wins to Dordrecht's 9, with 2 draws. However, recent meetings paint a different picture. Dordrecht have won three of the last five encounters, including a 4-0 home win in April 2025 and a 3-2 away victory in December 2024. The most recent clash on Jan 23, 2026, ended 3-2 to Dordrecht. The last meeting at Den Bosch, on Sep 12, 2025, finished in a 3-3 draw, suggesting goals are almost guaranteed when these two meet.
Neither Den Bosch nor Dordrecht feature in the top 12 of the provided overall league standings, indicating both are in the lower half of the 1 Eerste Divisie. The table is led by Heracles Almelo with 21 points from 8 games. The absence of both teams from the top positions underscores their struggles this season and makes this a crucial match to climb away from danger.
Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Den Bosch has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Dordrecht has a 22% chance. The odds imply a home win probability of around 53% after removing the bookmaker margin, which we have slightly adjusted down due to Den Bosch's terrible form. Dordrecht's poor away record further reduces their chances, making the home side the most likely winner, though not by a wide margin.
Bookmakers see Den Bosch as the favorite. The best available odds for a home win are 1.88, while the draw is priced at 3.90 and an away win at 3.45. These odds reflect Den Bosch's home advantage despite their recent slump. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is a narrow Den Bosch victory, but both teams' defensive vulnerabilities suggest a high-scoring affair. A bet on Den Bosch to win and both teams to score could offer value.