Denmark U19 - Netherlands U19 prediction 6 October 2026

The Denmark U19 vs Netherlands U19 prediction for the Friendly International on Oct 6, 2026, at 12:00 sees the home side as a slight favorite. Based on our comprehensive analysis, Denmark U19 has a 42% win probability, a draw is at 30%, and Netherlands U19 holds a 28% chance. Read on for detailed betting tips and the key stats.

Denmark U19 vs Netherlands U19 Team Form

Denmark U19's last five matches:

• Oct 3: Draw 3–3 vs Portugal U19 (A)
• Sep 30: Loss 0–1 vs Austria U19 (A)
• Jul 8: Draw 0–0 vs Italy U19 (H)
• Jul 4: Win 3–0 vs Wales U19 (H)
• Jul 1: Loss 0–3 vs Spain U19 (H)

That gives Denmark 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last five outings, scoring 6 and conceding 7. The 3–3 draw away to Portugal showed attacking threat, but the consecutive clean-sheet losses to Austria and Spain highlight defensive fragility.

Netherlands U19's last five matches:

• Oct 3: Loss 0–1 vs Austria U19 (H)
• Sep 30: Loss 1–6 vs Portugal U19 (A)
• Sep 24: Draw 1–1 vs Belgium U19 (H)
• Mar 31: Win 3–0 vs Faroe Islands U19 (A)
• Mar 31: Loss 0–3 vs Spain U19 (H)

Netherlands have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last five, with only 5 goals scored and 11 conceded. Heavy defeats to Portugal and Spain, plus a home loss to Austria, leave them with plenty of questions at the back.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between Denmark U19 and Netherlands U19. This will be their first ever meeting, so no historical data can influence the prediction.

Win Probability: Denmark U19 or Netherlands U19?

We start from the bookmakers' odds, where the average implied probabilities (after removing the margin) were roughly 38% for a Denmark win, 32% for a draw and 30% for a Netherlands win. Home advantage and Denmark's slightly better recent form – fewer defeats, a better goal difference and a morale-boosting 3–0 win over Wales – push the calculation further in the hosts' favour. Netherlands' defensive record (11 goals conceded in 5 games) reduces their chances. Our final adjusted probabilities are: Denmark U19 42%, draw 30%, Netherlands U19 28%.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available 1X2 odds from bookmakers are: Denmark U19 win at 2.25, draw at 2.30, Netherlands U19 win at 2.88. These prices reflect the closeness of the contest, but based on the stats the value lies with the home side. Our betting tips for Denmark U19 vs Netherlands U19 lead to a prediction of a narrow home victory, though the draw remains a strong alternative. The match outcome is expected to be tight; the draw no bet market on Denmark U19 could be the safest route for punters.