Denmark - Norway prediction 17 November 2026
Denmark
Norway
WalesDenmarkDenmarkPortugalDenmarkWalesNorwayDenmarkDenmarkUkraineDenmarkCongo DRCzech RepublicDenmarkDenmarkNorth MacedoniaDenmarkLithuaniaDenmarkNorthern IrelandPortugalDenmarkDenmarkPortugalSerbiaDenmarkDenmarkSpainSwitzerlandDenmarkPortugalNorwayWalesNorwayNorwayPortugalNorwayDenmarkNorwayEnglandBrazilNorwayCote d'IvoireNorwayNorwayFranceNorwaySenegalIraqNorwayMoroccoNorwayNorwaySwedenNorwaySwitzerlandNetherlandsNorwayNorwayNew ZealandNorwayDenmarkDenmarkNorway| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 |
| 6 |  Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 7 |
| 13 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 |
| 19 |  England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 20 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 21 |  Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 22 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 24 |  Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 25 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 26 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 27 |  Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 |
| 28 |  Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 29 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 30 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 31 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 32 |  Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 33 |  Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 34 |  Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 35 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 |
| 36 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 37 |  Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 38 |  Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 39 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 40 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 41 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 42 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 43 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 44 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 45 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 46 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 47 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 48 |  Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 49 |  North Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
| 50 |  San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 |
| 51 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
| 52 |  Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 53 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
| 54 |  Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Norway vs Denmark Prediction (Sep 24)
The Norway vs Denmark prediction for this UEFA Nations League clash on Sep 24, 2026, points towards a home win at Ullevaal Stadion. Based on the latest odds and team form, Norway has a 48% chance of winning, while Denmark sits at 19% and the draw at 33%. The match kicks off at 19:45 local time in Oslo.
Team Form
Norway enters this match with strong momentum from the 2026 World Cup. Their last five results show three wins, one draw, and one loss (D, W, W, L, W). They beat Brazil 2-1 and Cรดte d'Ivoire 2-1, drew 1-1 with England, and lost 4-1 to France before defeating Senegal 3-2. At home, they have been solid, with the only recent home loss coming against the French.
Denmark is unbeaten in their last five matches (W, D, D, W, W). They secured friendly wins over Ukraine (2-1) and Lithuania (5-0), a 4-0 victory against North Macedonia in World Cup qualification, and draws with Congo DR (0-0) and Czech Republic (1-1). However, only one of those games was away from home, and they have not faced the same caliber of opposition as Norway recently.
Head-to-Head Record
The only previous meeting between these sides in our database was a 2-1 away win for Norway in a Friendly International Women match on Jun 29, 2022. While that game is not directly comparable, it does give Norway a psychological edge with one win and no defeats in the head-to-head record.
Win Probability: Norway or Denmark?
After analyzing the betting odds and recent performances, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Norway win โ 48%, draw โ 33%, Denmark win โ 19%. The bookmakersโ average implied odds gave Norway a 46.9% chance, the draw 34.2%, and Denmark 18.9%. We have slightly adjusted these figures to reflect Norwayโs superior recent results against top-tier teams and the home advantage at Ullevaal Stadion. Norwayโs World Cup wins over Brazil and Cรดte dโIvoire demonstrate their ability to compete at a high level, while Denmarkโs unbeaten run came mostly in friendlies and against lower-ranked sides.
Norway vs Denmark Prediction & Odds
Bookmakers see Norway as the clear favorite. The best available odds for a home win range from 1.67 to 1.82, the draw is priced between 2.30 and 2.42, and an away win for Denmark can be backed at 4.00 to 4.90. These odds imply a strong likelihood of a Norwegian victory. Our Norway vs Denmark prediction is a home win, but the draw is a real possibility given Denmarkโs defensive resilience. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow Norway victory, possibly with under 2.5 goals.
Norway vs Denmark โ FAQ
- Who will win Norway vs Denmark?
- Norway is the most likely winner with a 48% chance, according to our probability model. A draw has a 33% chance, while Denmarkโs win probability is 19%.
- What is the win probability for Norway?
- Norway has a 48% chance of winning. This is based on bookmaker odds adjusted for their strong World Cup form and home advantage at Ullevaal Stadion.
- When is the Norway vs Denmark match?
- The match is on Sep 24, 2026, at 19:45 local time. It is a UEFA Nations League fixture played at Ullevaal Stadion in Oslo.
- What are the odds for Norway vs Denmark?
- The latest odds show a Norway home win at 1.67โ1.82, a draw at 2.30โ2.42, and a Denmark away win at 4.00โ4.90. These prices reflect Norwayโs favorite status.
- What is the head-to-head record between Norway and Denmark?
- The only recorded meeting was a 2-1 away win for Norway in a 2022 friendly. Norway leads the head-to-head with one victory and no defeats.