Portugal - Denmark prediction 14 November 2026
Portugal
DenmarkPortugal
NorwayDenmarkPortugalNorwayPortugalPortugalWalesPortugalSpainPortugalCroatiaColombiaPortugalPortugalUzbekistanPortugalCongo DRPortugalNigeriaPortugalChileUSAPortugalMexicoPortugalPortugalSpainGermanyPortugalWalesDenmarkDenmarkPortugalDenmarkWalesNorwayDenmarkDenmarkUkraineDenmarkCongo DRCzech RepublicDenmarkDenmarkNorth MacedoniaDenmarkLithuaniaDenmarkNorthern IrelandPortugalDenmarkDenmarkPortugalSerbiaDenmarkDenmarkSpainSwitzerlandDenmark| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | 2.62 | 6.00 | |
| 1.34 | 2.62 | 5.90 | |
| 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.13 |
- Bernardo Silvamidfielder
- 8Bruno Fernandesmidfielder
- 99Diogo Costagoalkeeper
- 2Diogo Dalotdefender
- 9Goncalo Ramosforward
- 11Joรฃo Fรฉlixforward
- 36Joรฃo Palhinhamidfielder
- Nuno Mendesdefender
- 17Nuno Tavaresdefender
- 12Renato Veigadefender
- 3Ruben Diasdefender
- 23Vรญtinhamidfielder
- 17Fรกbio Silva
- 16Francisco Trincรฃo
- 44Tomas Araรบjo
- 15Joรฃo Neves
- 18Pedro Neto
- 27Rafael Leรฃo
- 21Rรบben Neves
- 1Rui Silva
- 24Samuel Soares
- 11Gustav Isaksenforward
- 2Joachim Andersendefender
- 5Joakim Maehledefender
- 1Mads Hermansengoalkeeper
- 20Mohammed Daramyforward
- Morten Hjulmandmidfielder
- 25Oliver Provstgaarddefender
- 23Pierre Emil Hรธjbjergmidfielder
- 19Rasmus Hรธjlundforward
- 5Rasmus Kristensendefender
- 10Thomas Jรถrgensenmidfielder
- 8Victor Froholdtmidfielder
- 17Adam Daghim
- 1Andreas Jungdal
- 70Andreas Skov Olsen
- Anton Gaaei
- 22Filip Jรถrgensen
- 9Kasper Hรถgh
- 4Lucas Hรธgsberg
- 12Mads Bidstrup
- 30Mathias Kvistgaarden
- 6Victor Nelsson
DenmarkPortugalPortugalDenmarkDenmarkPortugal| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 |
| 6 |  Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 7 |
| 13 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 |
| 19 |  England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 20 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 21 |  Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 22 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 24 |  Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 25 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 26 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 27 |  Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 |
| 28 |  Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 29 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 30 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 31 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 32 |  Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 33 |  Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 34 |  Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 35 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 |
| 36 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 37 |  Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 38 |  Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 39 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 40 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 41 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 42 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 43 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 44 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 45 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 46 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 47 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 48 |  Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 49 |  North Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
| 50 |  San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 |
| 51 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
| 52 |  Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 53 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
| 54 |  Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Denmark vs Portugal Prediction (Oct 1)
The Denmark vs Portugal prediction for this UEFA Nations League clash on October 1, 2026, points towards a closely contested match. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds, Portugal enters the match as a slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while Denmark has a 35% chance of winning at home.
Team Form
Denmark's recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches (W, L, W, D, D). At home, they secured a solid 2-0 victory against Wales on Sep 27 but suffered a 3-2 away defeat to Norway on Sep 24. Earlier results include a 2-1 friendly win over Ukraine and a 0-0 draw with Congo DR.
Portugal comes into this fixture in stronger form, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five (W, W, L, W, D). Their most recent outings include a 2-1 away win against Norway on Sep 27 and a 1-0 home victory over Wales on Sep 24. Their only recent defeat was a 1-0 loss to Spain in the World Cup.
Head-to-Head Record
These two sides have met twice before in the UEFA Nations League, with each team claiming one victory. Denmark won 1-0 at home on March 20, 2025, while Portugal responded with a 3-2 home win on March 23, 2025. The head-to-head record stands at one win apiece, with no draws.
League Table Positions
In the overall UEFA Nations League standings, Portugal sits in 4th place with 6 points from 2 matches, having scored 3 goals and conceded 1. Denmark is not listed in the top 12 of the provided overall standings. In the home table, Portugal is ranked 4th with a perfect record of 1 win from 1 home game. Denmark does not appear in the top 8 of the home or away standings provided.
Win Probability: Denmark or Portugal?
After analyzing the available data, the win probabilities for this match are calculated as follows: Denmark has a 35% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Portugal has a 42% chance. This calculation is based on the inverse of the average bookmaker odds (normalized to remove the margin), adjusted for Portugal's superior recent form and Denmark's home advantage. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, but Portugal's more consistent results give them the edge.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see this as a very open contest. The best available odds for a Denmark home win are 3.63, for a draw are 3.78, and for a Portugal away win are 2.14. The lowest odds for a Portugal win (2.14) confirm their status as the favorite. Based on the stats, a narrow Portugal victory is the most likely outcome, but Denmark's home form makes them a dangerous opponent.
Denmark vs Portugal โ FAQ
- Who will win Denmark vs Portugal?
- Based on our probability analysis, Portugal is the favorite with a 42% chance of winning. Denmark has a 35% chance, and the draw is rated at 23%. Portugal's stronger recent form gives them a slight edge in this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- What is the win probability for Portugal?
- Portugal has a 42% probability of winning against Denmark on October 1, 2026. This is calculated from bookmaker odds and adjusted for their recent form of three wins in five matches, compared to Denmark's two wins in the same period.
- When is the Denmark vs Portugal match?
- The match between Denmark and Portugal is scheduled for October 1, 2026, at 19:45 local time. It will be played at Telia Parken in Copenhagen as part of the UEFA Nations League.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The available 1X2 odds for Denmark vs Portugal vary among bookmakers. The best odds for a Denmark win are 3.63, for a draw are 3.78, and for a Portugal win are 2.14. Portugal is the favorite according to the betting market.