Deportes Copiapo - Deportes Santa Cruz prediction 24 October 2026

The Deportes Copiapo vs Deportes Santa Cruz prediction for this Primera B clash on October 24 at 21:30 points to a solid home advantage. Based on the stats, Deportes Copiapo enters as the clear favorite with a 60% win probability, while Deportes Santa Cruz faces an uphill battle away from home.

Team Form

Deportes Copiapo comes into this match in excellent shape. Their last five league results show three wins, one draw, and one loss (W-W-W-D-L). At home, they have been particularly strong: a 2-1 victory over Cobreloa on Oct 11, a dominant 3-0 win against Puerto Montt on Oct 3, and a 1-1 draw with Magallanes on Sep 10.

Deportes Santa Cruz, on the other hand, has struggled for consistency. Their recent form reads D-L-L-D-W from the last five outings. They are winless in their last four matches, including a 1-2 home defeat to San Marcos De Arica on Oct 4 and a 1-2 loss at Deportes Temuco on Oct 10. The most recent result was a 0-0 home draw with Antofagasta on Oct 18.

Head-to-Head Record

The history between these two sides heavily favors Deportes Copiapo. In 8 previous meetings, Deportes Copiapo has won 6 times, there have been 2 draws, and Deportes Santa Cruz has never won. The last encounter on Jun 2 ended in a 1-1 draw at Deportes Santa Cruz. Before that, Copiapo secured a 2-0 home win on Aug 30, 2025, and a 1-0 away victory on Apr 26, 2025. Deportes Santa Cruz has proven unable to beat their rivals.

League Table Positions

Deportes Copiapo sits 7th in the Primera B overall standings with 40 points from 27 matches (11 wins, 7 draws, 9 losses). Their home form is a real strength: 4th in the home table with 27 points from 14 games (8 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses).

Deportes Santa Cruz is not listed among the top 12 teams in the provided league table, indicating a lower position and a significant points gap to their hosts. This disparity in league standing reinforces the favorite status of Copiapo.

Win Probability: Deportes Copiapo or Deportes Santa Cruz?

After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities for this match are:

• Deportes Copiapo win: 60%
• Draw: 25%
• Deportes Santa Cruz win: 15%

This calculation is rooted in the overwhelming head-to-head record (6 wins for Copiapo, 0 for Santa Cruz in 8 games), the superior recent form of the home side (3 wins in their last 5 vs Santa Cruz's 1 win), and the strong home advantage (4th best home record in the league). Deportes Santa Cruz's away form is not detailed in the top standings, suggesting they are much less competitive on the road. The 15% chance for the visitors reflects their historical inability to beat Copiapo and their poor recent run of results. Deportes Copiapo has a clear 60% chance of securing all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific 1X2 odds are not provided in the data, but bookmakers would undoubtedly see Deportes Copiapo as the favorite given the contrasting form and one-sided head-to-head record. Based on the stats, a home win is the most likely outcome. The consistent scoring form of Copiapo at home, coupled with Santa Cruz's struggles, points towards a controlled performance from the hosts. Our betting tip is to back Deportes Copiapo to win, likely with a -1 handicap or a straight victory, given their historical dominance in this fixture.