The Rodelindo Roman vs Deportes Naval de Talcahuano prediction for the Tercera Division match on Sep 11, 2026, at 15:00 points to a tight contest with the home side holding a slight edge. Based on recent form and head-to-head data, Rodelindo Roman has a 40% win probability, while Deportes Naval de Talcahuano sits at 30%, and the draw is also at 30%.
Rodelindo Roman's last five matches show a mixed bag: L, W, W, L, W. They suffered a 1-2 home loss to Malleco Unido on Aug 29 but bounced back with a 0-1 away win at Imperial Unido on Aug 23. A 3-2 home victory over Futuro FC on Aug 15 was followed by a 1-0 defeat at Lautaro de Buin on Aug 01, before a 2-1 home win against Atletico Oriente on Jul 25. That's three wins in five, with two of those coming at home.
Deportes Naval de Talcahuano also have three wins in their last five (L, L, W, W, W). However, their two losses were heavy away defeats: 4-1 at CD Rancagua Sur on Sep 05 and 4-0 at Comunal Cabrero on Aug 16. They recovered with a 2-1 home win over Aguara on Aug 08, a 2-3 away win at CDS Constitucion Unido on Aug 04, and a 3-1 home win against Puente Alto on Jul 25. The away form is a concern, conceding eight goals in those two losses.
These teams have met only once before, on Jun 13, 2026, in the Tercera Division. Deportes Naval de Talcahuano hosted that match and won convincingly 4-0. That gives the away side a psychological edge, but the venue switches to Rodelindo Roman's ground this time, where the home team will look to avenge that defeat.
No current league table data is available for this fixture, so positions and points gaps cannot be factored into the prediction.
After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are: Rodelindo Roman 40%, draw 30%, Deportes Naval de Talcahuano 30%. The home side gets the nod thanks to playing at their own stadium, where they have won two of their last three. Deportes Naval's recent away strugglesโtwo heavy losses without scoringโtip the balance slightly toward the hosts. The head-to-head result is a counterpoint, but home advantage and current form patterns make Rodelindo Roman the more likely winner, though a draw is a very realistic outcome.
No bookmaker odds are provided in the data, so a direct odds comparison isn't possible. Based on the stats, the prediction is a narrow home win or a draw. Rodelindo Roman's home form and Deportes Naval's leaky away defence suggest the hosts could edge it, but the visitors' overall win rate keeps them in contention. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline in favour of Rodelindo Roman appears the most probable, with a 1-1 draw also a strong possibility.