Atletico FC Cali - Deportes Quindio prediction 20 October 2026

The Atletico FC Cali vs Deportes Quindio prediction for this Primera B clash on Oct 20, 2026, at 21:30 leans towards the visitors. Based on historical data and recent form, Deportes Quindio enters this match as the likely favorite with a 45% win probability, compared to Atletico FC Cali's 30% chance and a 25% probability for the draw.

Team Form

Atletico FC Cali's recent results show a struggle for consistency: a win, a draw, and three losses in their last five outings. Their latest match was a 1-0 away victory against Boca Juniors de Cali on Oct 16, but prior to that, they suffered defeats to Real Soacha Cundinamarca FC (1-2), Envigado FC (0-3), and Tigres FC (0-3), alongside a 2-2 draw with Real Cartagena.

Deportes Quindio's form is slightly steadier, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five. They drew 1-1 at home against Real Cartagena on Oct 16, and secured a 1-0 away win at Orsomarso on Oct 6. However, a 4-1 defeat at Barranquilla FC and a 3-1 loss at Real Soacha Cundinamarca FC highlight some defensive vulnerabilities on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Deportes Quindio. In 22 previous meetings, the away side has won 11 times, with Atletico FC Cali managing just 4 victories, and 7 matches ending in a draw. The most recent encounter, on Apr 12, 2026, saw Deportes Quindio claim a 2-1 home win. The last time Atletico FC Cali hosted Deportes Quindio, on Sep 15, 2023, the match finished 2-2.

League Table Positions

Current league standings for the Primera B show no points or matches played for either team at this stage of the 2026 season. As the season has not yet begun, both Atletico FC Cali and Deportes Quindio sit on 0 points, making recent form and head-to-head records the primary indicators for this fixture.

Win Probability: Atletico FC Cali or Deportes Quindio?

This match presents clear probabilities: Deportes Quindio has a 45% chance of winning, a draw stands at 25%, and Atletico FC Cali has a 30% chance. This assessment is based on the inverse of the best available odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for team form and the dominant head-to-head record. Deportes Quindio's historical success in this fixture, combined with a slightly better run of recent results, gives them a distinct edge, despite playing away from home. The most likely match outcome is an away win for Deportes Quindio.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a competitive contest but clearly favor the away side. The best available odds for a Deportes Quindio win are as low as 1.62, with alternative bookmakers offering around 2.10. A draw is priced at around 2.15, while an Atletico FC Cali home win is offered at a high 5.00 to 5.75. Based on the stats, the value appears to be with the visitors. The final prediction is a Deportes Quindio victory, reflecting their proven record in this head-to-head matchup and superior recent form.