Barranquilla FC - Deportes Quindio prediction 11 October 2026

Looking for a Deportes Quindio vs Barranquilla FC prediction? This Primera B clash on October 11, 2026 at 23:00 sees Deportes Quindio travel to Barranquilla FC with a 40% win probability according to our analysis. Barranquilla FC are winless in their last five and sit at home amid poor form, while Deportes Quindio arrive with two wins from their last five and a historically strong H2H away record.

Team Form

Barranquilla FC enter this fixture in a deep slump. Their last five outings have yielded two draws and three losses (D D L L L). Most recently, they drew 1-1 away at Leones FC and 1-1 at home to Club Deportivo Los Millonarios in the Cup, but slumped to a 0-1 home loss to Real Soacha Cundinamarca FC, a 1-2 defeat at Bogota FC, and a 0-2 home reverse to Independiente Yumbo. At home in the league, they have lost two of their last three, failing to score twice.

Deportes Quindio show slightly brighter form with two wins, two losses and one draw (W W L L D). They claimed a 1-0 away win at Orsomarso and a 1-0 home victory against Bogota FC. The defeats were a 1-3 loss at Real Soacha Cundinamarca FC and a 1-2 home defeat to Boyaca Patriotas FC, while the draw came 0-0 at Independiente Yumbo. On the road, they have one win, one draw and one loss in their last three away fixtures, indicating a competitive side on their travels.

Head-to-Head Record

Across 21 previous meetings all-time, draws dominate the H2H (8 draws, 4 home wins, 9 away wins). In the last five encounters, three ended level (0-0, 1-1, 1-1), one was won by Barranquilla FC at home (4-1 in August 2023), and the other by Deportes Quindio at home (1-0 in February 2026). Notably, Deportes Quindio have never won at Barranquilla FC in the three most recent visits there (two draws, one loss), suggesting a tight contest is likely.

League Table Positions

The Colombian Primera B season is yet to start, so both sides are on 0 points along with all 12 teams. No table advantage can be extracted; the match must be judged on current form and historical trends alone.

Win Probability: Deportes Quindio or Barranquilla FC?

Based on recent form, head-to-head statistics and the home/away factor, we calculate the following outcome likelihoods:

• Deportes Quindio win: 40%
• Draw: 35%
• Barranquilla FC win: 25%

Deportes Quindio are favored due to a slightly superior recent record and the historical tendency for away wins in this fixture (9 away wins out of 21 overall). However, the high draw count (38%) and Barranquilla FC’s home draws against Deportes Quindio in 2026 and 2025 push a stalemate close to a one-in-three chance. Barranquilla’s ongoing three-match losing streak in the league heavily weighs down their chances.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds were available at the time of this analysis. Without betting odds to compare, the prediction is driven entirely by the statistics. The data points to Deportes Quindio as the most likely winner, albeit with a relatively low 40% probability. The safest conclusion is to expect a tight, low-scoring affair where Deportes Quindio could edge it, but a draw remains a very real possibility. Our Deportes Quindio vs Barranquilla FC betting tips: back the visitors to win cautiously, or consider the draw as a value alternative.