Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Recoleta prediction 14 September 2026

Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Recoleta prediction for the Primera B match on Sep 14 at 21:00. Bookmakers see Deportes Santa Cruz as the favorite, and our win probability model gives the home side a 45% chance of taking all three points.

Team Form

Deportes Santa Cruz come into this match with mixed recent results: two draws, two losses, and one win in their last five Primera B matches. Their most recent outing ended 1–1 at home against Union Espanola on Sep 05. Before that, they drew 0–0 away at Union San Felipe and lost 1–0 away at Magallanes.

Deportes Recoleta are in noticeably better form. They have won three of their last five, with two draws and no losses in that span. Their last match was a 2–1 home win over San Marcos De Arica on Sep 09, and they also beat Antofagasta 2–1 away on Sep 06.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is perfectly balanced: 5 wins for Deportes Santa Cruz, 5 wins for Deportes Recoleta, and 2 draws in 12 previous meetings. The most recent H2H match took place on May 09, 2026, when Deportes Recoleta won 1–0 at home. Deportes Santa Cruz have not beaten Deportes Recoleta since March 2024, when they lost 1–2 at home.

League Table Positions

Deportes Recoleta sit 7th in the Primera B overall standings with 34 points from 23 matches (9 wins, 7 draws, 7 losses). Deportes Santa Cruz are not in the top 12 of the overall table shown in the data. On the road, Deportes Recoleta rank 4th in the away table with 16 points from 12 away matches (4 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses).

Win Probability: Deportes Santa Cruz or Deportes Recoleta?

Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, Deportes Santa Cruz has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Deportes Recoleta has a 27% chance. The home side gets a slight edge from playing at home and from bookmaker odds, but Deportes Recoleta's superior recent form and strong away record keep this match close.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds for this match are: Deportes Santa Cruz 2.02, draw 3.30, Deportes Recoleta 3.35. Bookmakers see Deportes Santa Cruz as the favorite, but the odds imply a relatively tight contest. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow Deportes Santa Cruz win, with a draw also a realistic possibility given the balanced H2H record and Deportes Recoleta's solid away form.