Parrillas One - Deportes Savio prediction 24 September 2026

Parrillas One vs Deportes Savio prediction for the Liga de Ascenso clash on Sep 24, 2026. Based on our analysis, Deportes Savio has a 35% chance of winning, while Parrillas One holds a 30% chance, and the draw is at 35%. The match kicks off at 02:30 local time in Honduras.

Team Form

Parrillas One come into this match with a mixed but unbeaten run in their last five outings: D, W, D, W, D. Their most recent result was a 2-2 home draw against Pumas FC on Sep 13. Before that, they thrashed CD Suyapa 6-0 away, drew 1-1 with Brasilia Rio Lindo, beat CD Subirana 1-0 at home, and drew 2-2 away at Brasilia Rio Lindo. The pattern is clear – they are hard to beat but struggle to turn draws into wins.

Deportes Savio, on the other hand, are in superb form with four wins and one draw in their last five: W, W, W, W, D. They won 2-1 away at Arsenal Roatan, beat Cruz Azul Opoa 3-0 at home, edged San Juan Huracan 2-1 at home, won 1-0 away at San Juan Huracan, and drew 0-0 at home against CD Estrella Roja. That’s four clean sheets in five matches and a strong away record.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Parrillas One and Deportes Savio. This will be their first ever meeting, so no direct comparisons can be drawn from past encounters.

Win Probability: Parrillas One or Deportes Savio?

We calculated the outcome probabilities by starting with the bookmakers’ odds, removing the margin, and then adjusting for recent form and home advantage. The raw implied probabilities from the average odds (home 2.75, draw 2.225, away 3.125) gave Parrillas One 32.1%, the draw 39.7%, and Deportes Savio 28.2%. However, Deportes Savio’s outstanding form – four wins in five – cannot be ignored, so we shifted the probabilities to reflect their stronger momentum. The final adjusted probabilities are: Parrillas One win – 30%, Draw – 35%, Deportes Savio win – 35%. Deportes Savio are therefore the marginal favorites, but the draw remains a very likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have set the following 1X2 odds: one bookie offers 2.75 for a home win, 2.25 for the draw, and 3.25 for an away win; another lists 2.75, 2.20, and 3.00 respectively. The draw is priced as the most probable single result. Our prediction aligns with the data: Deportes Savio’s form gives them a slight edge, but Parrillas One’s resilience at home makes a stalemate a real threat. The safest betting tip is a double chance on Deportes Savio or draw. A narrow away win or a low-scoring draw are the most plausible match outcomes.