Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Cali prediction 10 October 2026

Looking for a Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali prediction? The Primera A clash kicks off on October 10, 2026, at 21:30 local time at Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas in Pereira. Our analysis gives Deportivo Cali a 55% win probability, making them the clear favorite over struggling Deportivo Pereira.

Team Form

Deportivo Pereira are in dreadful form. Their last five matches have yielded two draws and three defeats (L, L, D, D, L). Most recently, they were thrashed 4-0 away by Cucuta Deportivo on October 4. At home, they have lost to Independiente Santa Fe (1-2) and Atletico Bucaramanga (1-3), and could only draw 0-0 with Inter Bogota FC. They have not won any of their last five outings.

Deportivo Cali, in contrast, are flying. They have won five consecutive matches (W, W, W, W, W), all away from home. Their latest victory was a 3-1 home win over Alianza Petrolera on October 3. Prior to that, they beat Rionegro Aguilas 2-0, Independiente Santa Fe 1-0, Cucuta Deportivo 3-0, and Once Caldas 2-1. This perfect away streak underlines their confidence and quality on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head heavily favors Deportivo Cali. In 21 meetings, Cali have won 13, Pereira have won 5, and 3 ended in draws. The last five encounters show Cali's dominance: they won three (1-0 in March 2026, 1-0 in October 2025, 2-0 in July 2023), Pereira won one (2-0 in April 2025), and one draw (2-2 in January 2024). Cali have kept clean sheets in three of those five matches.

League Table Positions

Deportivo Cali sit 9th in the overall Primera A standings with 27 points from 19 games (7 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses). Their home record is strong (8th, 5 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss), but they have been even more impressive on the road recently. Deportivo Pereira are outside the top 12 in the overall table, indicating a much weaker campaign. Their exact position is not among the league's top half, reflecting their poor form.

Win Probability: Deportivo Pereira or Deportivo Cali?

After normalizing bookmaker odds and adjusting for form and head-to-head records, the win probabilities are:

• Deportivo Pereira win: 15%
• Draw: 30%
• Deportivo Cali win: 55%

The base odds implied a 43% chance for Cali, but their perfect away form and Pereira's winless run push that figure higher. Pereira's home advantage is negated by their terrible results, while Cali's five-match winning streak away makes them the most likely winner. The draw remains a significant possibility at 30%, but the clear value lies with an away victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Deportivo Cali as the favorite. The average odds across six bookmakers are approximately 4.70 for a home win, 2.39 for a draw, and 2.07 for an away win. These odds reflect Cali's superior form and head-to-head record. Based on the stats, Deportivo Cali are the more likely winners. A low-scoring away win is a plausible outcome given Pereira's defensive struggles and Cali's solidity on the road.