Delfin SC - Deportivo Cuenca prediction 31 October 2026

Our Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction for the Ecuador Serie A match on October 31, 2026, at 16:30 points to a home victory. Based on the form, head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds, Delfin SC has a 52% chance of winning, while Deportivo Cuenca has a 21% chance, and the draw is at 27%.

Team Form

Delfin SC comes into this match in strong form with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings (W, W, W, D, L). They scored 13 goals in these five matches, including a 4-2 win over Manta FC and a 3-2 victory against Mushuc Runa. Their only recent setback was a 4-0 defeat to Orense SC on October 24.

Deportivo Cuenca's last five matches show two wins and three draws (W, W, D, D, D), indicating a hard-to-beat side. They defeated Manta FC 2-0 and Tecnico Universitario 2-1, while drawing 0-0 with Orense SC and 1-1 against both Mushuc Runa and LDU Quito. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 3 in this period.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Delfin SC. In 30 previous meetings, Delfin SC has won 15 times, with 9 draws and only 6 wins for Deportivo Cuenca. The most recent encounter on May 31, 2026, saw Deportivo Cuenca win 1-0 at home, but prior to that Delfin SC won 1-0 in February 2026 and 2-0 in November 2025. At home, Delfin SC has been particularly dominant in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Deportivo Cuenca sits 12th in the overall Serie A standings with 36 points from 30 matches (10 wins, 6 draws, 14 losses). They have scored 25 goals and conceded 37. Away from home, they are ranked 6th with 17 points from 15 matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 8 losses). Delfin SC is not listed in the provided overall, home, or away standings, suggesting they are in the lower half or a different phase of the competition table.

Win Probability: Delfin SC or Deportivo Cuenca?

After analyzing all available data, Delfin SC has a 52% chance of winning, the draw carries a 27% probability, and Deportivo Cuenca has a 21% chance of victory. This calculation is based on the inverse of the best available odds (2.68 for home win, 3.20 for draw, 3.95 for away win), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for Delfin SC's superior recent form (3 wins in last 5) and the overwhelming head-to-head advantage (15 wins to 6). Delfin SC's home advantage and Deportivo Cuenca's lower table position further support a home-favored outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a tight contest with a home lean. The best available odds for a Delfin SC win are 2.68, a draw is at 3.20, and an away win for Deportivo Cuenca pays 3.95. Some books offer a home win as low as 1.95, reflecting confidence in the home side. Based on the stats, Delfin SC is the more likely winner, and a home win is the safest prediction. The draw has value given Deportivo Cuenca's three consecutive stalemates, but Delfin SC's firepower should make the difference.