Guerreros de Autlan - Deportivo Etchojoa prediction 4 October 2026

The Guerreros de Autlan vs Deportivo Etchojoa prediction for October 3, 2026, points to a tight Liga TDP contest with the home side holding a narrow edge. Based on odds, form, and the only previous head-to-head meeting, Guerreros de Autlan has a 35% win probability, the draw stands at 33%, and Deportivo Etchojoa has a 32% chance. The match kicks off at 03:00 local time.

Team Form

Guerreros de Autlan come into this match with a mixed recent record. Their last five results read L, W, L, W, L, including a 2-0 defeat at Real Apodaca FC on Sep 20 and a 2-1 home win over La Tribu de Ciudad Juarez on Sep 13. The side has struggled for consistency, alternating wins and losses, and will look to use home advantage to string together back-to-back positive results.

Deportivo Etchojoa's form is similarly patchy: L, L, W, L, W. They lost 2-1 at Colima on Apr 29 and fell 2-1 at Guerreros de Autlan in their last meeting. A 4-2 win at Cobras on Feb 14 and a 1-0 victory at Xolos de Hermosillo in December 2025 show they can pick up points on the road, but defensive frailties have cost them in recent outings.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once before, on Apr 12, 2026, in Liga TDP. Guerreros de Autlan won that match 2-1 at home. The head-to-head record stands at 1 home win, 0 draws, and 0 away wins, giving the hosts a psychological edge going into this fixture.

Win Probability: Guerreros de Autlan or Deportivo Etchojoa?

We calculate the win probabilities by taking the inverse of the available bookmaker odds, normalizing to remove the margin, and then adjusting for recent form and head-to-head data. The raw odds imply a very balanced match. After factoring in Guerreros de Autlan's home advantage and their 2-1 win in the only previous meeting, we arrive at:

• Guerreros de Autlan win: 35%
• Draw: 33%
• Deportivo Etchojoa win: 32%

Guerreros de Autlan is the slight favorite, but the match is essentially a coin toss. The draw probability is also high, reflecting the inconsistent form of both teams.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have set odds around 2.55–2.90 for a Guerreros de Autlan victory, 2.15–3.40 for the draw, and 2.35–2.90 for an away win. These prices confirm the tight nature of the contest. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow home win, but a draw cannot be ruled out. Our prediction: Guerreros de Autlan to win, but with low confidence given the balanced probabilities.