Deportivo La Coruna - Levante UD prediction 16 October 2026

The Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante UD prediction looks ahead to this Primera clash on Oct 16, 2026, at 20:00. Deportivo enter as slight favourites with a 42% win probability, while the draw sits at 30% and an away win for Levante UD is at 28%. Bookmakers odds reflect a tight contest, with home odds around 2.14.

Team Form

Deportivo La Coruna have struggled recently, going winless in their last five outings. Their record reads L, L, D, D, L across all competitions. A 3‑2 loss at Real Sociedad (Primera), a 1‑3 friendly defeat to FC Porto at home, a 2‑2 friendly draw away at Penafiel, a 1‑1 home draw with Real Betis (Primera), and a 0‑1 home loss against Sevilla (Primera). Two of those five were non‑league friendlies, but the league form still shows no victory in the last three.

Levante UD have been slightly more mixed. Their last five results: L, D, L, D, W. They lost 1‑3 away at Villarreal (Primera), drew 0‑0 at home with Athletic Bilbao, lost 2‑4 at home to Barcelona, secured a 0‑0 away draw at Malaga, and then a convincing 5‑2 home win over Real Betis. That lone win was a high‑scoring home display, but on the road Levante have managed two points from three away trips in this sample.

Head-to-Head Record

The last four meetings between Deportivo La Coruna and Levante UD show a clear advantage for the visitors. Deportivo have not won any of those matches (0 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats). The most recent two both finished 2‑1 to Levante – away on Jan 25, 2025, and at home on Oct 24, 2024, both in the Segunda division. Before that, two Primera draws: a 2‑2 at Deportivo in January 2018 and a 2‑2 at Levante in August 2017. In two home H2H fixtures, Deportivo collected one draw and one loss.

League Table Positions

Deportivo La Coruna sit 8th in the Primera table with 10 points after 8 matchdays (2 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses; goals 12‑11). At home they have earned 5 points from 4 games (1 win, 2 draws, 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 4). Levante UD’s position is outside the top‑12 shown in the standings data, suggesting they are lower in the table. That gap gives Deportivo a slight ranking edge, though form and H2H records dilute that superiority.

Win Probability: Deportivo La Coruna or Levante UD?

Based on the odds, team form, head‑to‑head record, league standings, and home advantage, the calculated outcome probabilities are: Deportivo La Coruna win 42%, draw 30%, Levante UD win 28%. We started with the inverse odds from a bookmaker (home 2.14, draw 3.60, away 3.75), which after removing the margin gave roughly 46‑27‑27. Adjusting for Deportivo’s poor recent form (no wins in five) and Levante’s unbeaten H2H streak, the home win probability is downgraded while the draw and away chances rise. The home factor and mid‑table standing keep Deportivo as the nominal favourite, but a draw is almost as plausible.

Odds & Match Prediction: Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante UD

The average bookmaker odds for 1X2 show Deportivo La Coruna as the favourites. For example, one bookmaker quotes 2.14 for a home win, 3.60 for a draw, and 3.75 for a Levante UD victory. These numbers imply a tight match. Our prediction based on the stats is that Deportivo have a slightly higher chance, but the contest is wide open and a draw has a significant probability. Levante cannot be ruled out given their superior recent head‑to‑head results.