San Marcos FC - Deportivo Matagalpa prediction 25 October 2026

Our Deportivo Matagalpa vs San Marcos FC prediction for the Primera Division match on August 16, 2026, sees the home side as a narrow favorite. Deportivo Matagalpa has a 42% win probability, while the draw stands at 37% and San Marcos FC at 21%. Both teams are struggling near the bottom of the table, making this a tough call.

Team Form

Deportivo Matagalpa come into this game on the back of a poor run: four losses in their last five matches (L, L, L, L, W). Their only victory was a 3-1 cup win over ART Jalapa on July 5. In the league, they have lost all four games, scoring just 1 goal and conceding 12.

• Aug 10: Deportivo Matagalpa 0-3 Managua (L)
• Aug 03: Walter Ferreti 4-1 Deportivo Matagalpa (L)
• Jul 26: Real Esteli 2-0 Deportivo Matagalpa (L)
• Jul 19: Deportivo Matagalpa 0-3 H&H Export Sebaco (L)
• Jul 05: Deportivo Matagalpa 3-1 ART Jalapa (W) – Cup

San Marcos FC have also struggled, with two losses, two draws, and one win in their last five (L, L, D, D, W). That win came in the Liga de Ascenso against Matiguas FC (1-0) on May 3. In Primera Division action, they have drawn twice away from home and lost twice at home.

• Aug 09: San Marcos 0-1 UNAN Managua (L)
• Aug 01: San Marcos 1-4 Managua (L)
• Jul 25: H&H Export Sebaco 1-1 San Marcos (D)
• Jul 18: Diriangen 1-1 San Marcos (D)
• May 03: San Marcos 1-0 Matiguas FC (W) – Liga de Ascenso

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Deportivo Matagalpa and San Marcos FC. This will be their first competitive meeting.

League Table Positions

Deportivo Matagalpa sit bottom of the overall Primera Division table (10th) with 0 points from 4 matches, having scored 1 goal and conceded 12. San Marcos FC are 8th with 2 points, 3 goals scored, and 7 conceded. In the home standings, Deportivo Matagalpa are not in the top 8, indicating they have lost all home games. San Marcos have collected 2 points from their two away matches (both draws), placing them 6th in the away table.

Win Probability: Deportivo Matagalpa or San Marcos?

Based on bookmaker odds and team performances, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Deportivo Matagalpa win: 42%
• Draw: 37%
• San Marcos FC win: 21%

The odds imply a slight edge for the home side, but their terrible league form (four straight losses) and San Marcos’s two away draws suggest a draw is a very realistic outcome. Deportivo Matagalpa’s home advantage keeps them as the favorite, but confidence is low.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for the 1X2 market range from 2.05 to 2.20 for a Deportivo Matagalpa win, 2.35 to 2.50 for the draw, and 4.20 to 4.35 for a San Marcos FC victory. The best available odds are 2.20 (home), 2.50 (draw), and 4.35 (away).

Our Deportivo Matagalpa vs San Marcos FC prediction: based on the stats, a draw looks the safest bet, but the home side might just scrape a win. We recommend betting on the double chance 1X or considering the draw.