Deportivo Moron Reserves - CA San Telmo Reserves prediction 24 September 2026

Looking for a Deportivo Moron Reserves vs CA San Telmo Reserves prediction? The match kicks off on September 24, 2026, in the Primera Nacional. Reserve League, and based on our analysis, a draw is the most likely outcome with a 50% probability.

Team Form

Deportivo Moron Reserves have struggled in recent matches. Their last five results are: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss (W1 D1 L3). They managed a 2-1 away win against CA San Miguel Reserves on September 10, but lost 0-1 at All Boys Reserves and 0-1 at CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves. At home, they drew 0-0 with Almirante Brown Reserves and lost 2-3 to CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve.

CA San Telmo Reserves have been more consistent, with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five (W1 D3 L1). Their most recent match was a 0-0 draw away at Tristan Suarez Reserves on September 16. They also drew 0-0 away at Tristan Suarez Reserves on August 27, and won 3-0 away at Los Andes Reserves on August 13. Their only defeat in this period was a 0-1 home loss to Acassuso Reserves.

Head-to-Head Record

These two teams have met only once before, on October 8, 2025, in the Primera Nacional. Reserve League. That match ended in a 0-0 draw. With no wins for either side, the head-to-head record offers little to separate them.

League Table Positions

The available league standings for the Primera Nacional. Reserve League do not include Deportivo Moron Reserves or CA San Telmo Reserves in the top 12. This suggests both teams are positioned in the lower half of the table, making this a clash between two sides looking to climb the rankings.

Win Probability: Deportivo Moron Reserves or CA San Telmo Reserves?

Based on the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, the probabilities for the match outcome are as follows:

• Deportivo Moron Reserves win: 25%
• Draw: 50%
• CA San Telmo Reserves win: 25%

The draw is the clear favorite. Bookmakers' odds heavily imply a stalemate, with draw odds as low as 1.95. The only previous meeting ended 0-0, and both teams have shown a tendency to draw recently—CA San Telmo Reserves have drawn three of their last five, while Deportivo Moron Reserves have drawn one and lost three. Home advantage for Deportivo Moron Reserves is offset by their poor home form (0 wins in last two home games). Therefore, a draw is the most likely result.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match (from two major bookmakers) are:

• Bookmaker 1: Home 3.10, Draw 2.00, Away 3.30
• Bookmaker 2: Home 3.00, Draw 1.95, Away 3.75

A third set of odds (1.01 for all outcomes) appears to be an error and has been excluded from analysis. The odds clearly point to a draw as the most probable outcome. Our prediction, based on the stats and probabilities, is a draw. Both teams are likely to cancel each other out, and a low-scoring stalemate is on the cards.