Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves - Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves prediction 22 September 2026

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves vs Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves prediction for the Primera B Metropolitana Reserve match on Sep 22, 2026 at 14:00. Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves enter as heavy favorites, with a 55% chance of claiming the victory based on form, head-to-head record and betting odds.

Team Form

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves have struggled recently, losing four of their last five matches (L,L,W,L,L). They conceded 19 goals in those five games, including a 6-1 loss to Justo Jose Urquiza Reserves and a 6-1 home defeat to Lujan Reserves. Their sole win came in a wild 4-3 away match at CA Fenix Pilar Reserves.

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves, by contrast, are in excellent form with three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five (W,W,W,D,L). They scored 11 goals in those matches, highlighted by a 3-0 win over Deportivo Espanol Reserves and a 4-1 away victory at Leandro Niceforo Alem Reserves.

Head-to-Head Record

The last four meetings between these sides heavily favour Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves, who have won three times to Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves’ one. The most recent clash (Jun 2, 2026) ended 4-1 to Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves. Earlier, on Apr 29, 2025, Deportivo secured a crushing 5-0 win. Juventud Unida’s only success came at home on Jul 31, 2025 (2-1). Overall, Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves have outscored Juventud Unida 12-3 across these four H2H encounters.

Win Probability: Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves vs Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves Prediction

Using the implied probabilities from the 1X2 odds (home 4.33, draw 3.00, away 1.48) and adjusting for the teams’ recent form and dominant head-to-head record, we calculate the following chances:

• Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves win: 18%
• Draw: 27%
• Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves win: 55%

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves’ strong recent performances and historical advantage give them a clear edge. The home underdog has shown vulnerability in defense, making an away victory the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The latest pre-match odds see Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves as the clear favorite at 1.48 to win, while a Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves home win is priced at 4.33 and the draw at 3.00. Bookmakers’ assessments align with our statistical model: an away win is the most probable result.

Based on the stats, the best prediction is a win for Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves. However, considering the 27% draw probability, a tight match cannot be entirely ruled out.