Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Santani prediction 25 October 2026

Our Deportivo Santani vs Fernando de la Mora prediction for the Segunda Division match on Jul 20 at 22:30 sees the home side as a strong favorite. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Deportivo Santani has a 55% chance of winning, while Fernando de la Mora sits at just 20%.

Team Form

Deportivo Santani comes into this match in excellent shape. Their last five results show four wins and one draw: a 4-0 away victory over 3 de Noviembre, a 2-1 home win against General Caballero JLM, a 2-0 away win at Guairena FC, a 0-0 away draw with Guairena FC, and a 3-0 home thrashing of Resistencia. They have scored 11 goals and conceded only once in that run, keeping four clean sheets.

Fernando de la Mora, by contrast, has struggled. Their last five outings produced two draws, one win, and two defeats: 2-2 at home to Paraguari AC, 2-2 at home to 3 de Noviembre, a 3-2 away win at General Caballero JLM, a 1-3 home loss to Guairena FC, and a 1-3 away loss to Resistencia. They have conceded 12 goals in these five matches and won just once.

Head-to-Head Record

In 11 previous meetings between these sides, Deportivo Santani has won 6, Fernando de la Mora has won 2, and 3 matches ended in draws. The most recent encounters underline the trend: Deportivo Santani won 3-0 away in August 2025 and 2-0 at home in May 2025. Santani has kept clean sheets in the last two H2H matches and has lost only one of the last five head-to-heads.

League Table Positions

Deportivo Santani sits 4th in the Segunda Division with 24 points from 14 games (7 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses). They have scored 18 goals and conceded 11. Fernando de la Mora is 12th with 15 points from 14 matches (4 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses), scoring 15 and conceding 22. The nine-point gap and superior goal difference highlight the gulf in class. At home, Santani has collected 10 points from 6 games (3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), while Fernando de la Mora’s away record stands at 3 wins and 3 losses from 6 trips.

Win Probability: Deportivo Santani or Fernando de la Mora?

Deportivo Santani has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Fernando de la Mora has a 20% chance. These probabilities are derived from the betting odds (home win around 1.80, draw 2.05, away win 4.80), then adjusted upward for Santani’s dominant form, historical H2H advantage, and much higher league position. The home team’s recent defensive solidity and the visitor’s leaky backline make a home victory the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers price Deportivo Santani as the clear favorite, with best odds of 1.80 for a home win. The draw is available at 2.05, and an away win for Fernando de la Mora at 4.80. These odds imply a home win probability of about 44% before adjustments. Taking all stats into account, our prediction is a home win for Deportivo Santani. The form gap and H2H dominance point firmly toward three points for the hosts.