Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Tachira prediction 31 October 2026

Deportivo Tachira vs Academia Puerto Cabello prediction for the Primera Division match on Sep 15, 2026, at 22:30. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, Deportivo Tachira has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Academia Puerto Cabello has a 20% chance. The home side enters as the favorite, but the high draw probability signals a tight contest.

Team Form

Deportivo Tachira's last five matches: L, W, W, D, L. They lost 2-0 away to Estudiantes de Merida on Sep 12, beat Rayo Zuliano 3-1 at home on Sep 06, won 5-2 at Zamora FC on Sep 02, drew 0-0 at home with Caracas FC on Aug 30, and lost 3-1 at Metropolitanos FC on Aug 22. The team scored 9 goals and conceded 8, showing attacking threat but defensive inconsistency.

Academia Puerto Cabello's last five matches: L, D, D, W, D. They lost 0-2 at home to Carabobo FC on Sep 12, drew 0-0 at UCV FC on Sep 07, drew 1-1 at home with Deportivo La Guaira on Sep 03, beat Academia Anzoategui 3-0 at home on Aug 31, and drew 1-1 at Estudiantes de Merida on Aug 22. With only one win in five, they have been hard to beat but lack cutting edge, scoring 5 and conceding 4.

Head-to-Head Record

Deportivo Tachira dominates the H2H with 12 wins, 13 draws, and only 3 losses in 28 meetings. In the last five encounters, Tachira won three times:

• Apr 04, 2026: Academia Puerto Cabello 1-2 Deportivo Tachira
• Sep 21, 2025: Deportivo Tachira 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello
• Jun 07, 2025: Deportivo Tachira 2-0 Academia Puerto Cabello
• May 03, 2025: Academia Puerto Cabello 1-2 Deportivo Tachira
• Apr 14, 2025: Academia Puerto Cabello 3-2 Deportivo Tachira

The clear historical advantage and recent results strongly favor the home side.

League Table Positions

As the Primera Division season is in its very early stages, both teams have zero points from zero matches played. The standings currently show Deportivo Tachira and Academia Puerto Cabello level with all other teams, so the table offers no insight into current league form.

Win Probability: Deportivo Tachira or Academia Puerto Cabello?

Deportivo Tachira has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Academia Puerto Cabello has a 20% chance. These probabilities are derived from average bookmaker odds (home 2.14, draw 2.15, away 3.62), normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted upward for Tachira due to their overwhelming H2H record (12 wins in 28) and home advantage. Despite the odds implying a nearly equal chance between a home win and a draw, the historical data tilts the balance toward Deportivo Tachira. The away side’s low win probability reflects their poor record in this fixture.

Odds & Match Prediction

The average odds across bookmakers are 2.14 for a Deportivo Tachira win, 2.15 for a draw, and 3.62 for an Academia Puerto Cabello victory. Bookmakers see this as a very close match, with the home side only a marginal favorite. Based on the stats, Deportivo Tachira is the predicted winner, but the high draw probability suggests a cautious approach. A low-scoring draw is a realistic outcome, but Tachira’s historical edge makes them the safer pick.