Merelbeke - Dessel Sport prediction 30 September 2026

Belgium ยท First Amateur DivisionFinished
Merelbeke
1:1
FT
Dessel Sport
Match Info
CompetitionFirst Amateur Division ยท Belgium
Start date
Kick-off
Recent Form
Merelbeke
D
W
L
D
D
Dessel Sport
D
L
L
W
D
Recent matches ยท Merelbeke
First Amateur Division
Houtvenne
Merelbeke
11
D
First Amateur Division
Royal Knokke
Merelbeke
03
W
First Amateur Division
Merelbeke
KFC Mandel United
02
L
First Amateur Division
Tienen
Merelbeke
00
D
First Amateur Division
Merelbeke
Dessel Sport
11
D
Cup
Merelbeke
Eupen
01
L
First Amateur Division
Merelbeke
KRC Harelbeke
30
W
First Amateur Division
Belisia Bilzen
Merelbeke
10
L
First Amateur Division
Merelbeke
Cercle Brugge II
31
W
First Amateur Division
Hoogstraten VV
Merelbeke
23
W
Friendly Clubs
Merelbeke
KSK Lierse Kempenzonen
02
L
Cup
Merelbeke
Ninove
11
D
Friendly Clubs
Merelbeke
Gent
16
L
First Amateur Division
Ninove
Merelbeke
31
L
First Amateur Division
Merelbeke
Sportkring Roeselare
13
L
Recent matches ยท Dessel Sport
First Amateur Division
Dessel Sport
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
22
D
First Amateur Division
Dessel Sport
Belisia Bilzen
34
L
First Amateur Division
Sportkring Roeselare
Dessel Sport
20
L
First Amateur Division
Dessel Sport
KRC Harelbeke
40
W
First Amateur Division
Merelbeke
Dessel Sport
11
D
First Amateur Division
Dessel Sport
Cercle Brugge II
31
W
First Amateur Division
Houtvenne
Dessel Sport
50
L
First Amateur Division
Dessel Sport
Hoogstraten VV
11
D
First Amateur Division
Tienen
Dessel Sport
34
W
Cup
KSK Heist
Dessel Sport
02
W
First Amateur Division
Sporting Hasselt
Dessel Sport
10
L
First Amateur Division
Dessel Sport
Cercle Brugge II
22
D
First Amateur Division
Tienen
Dessel Sport
13
W
First Amateur Division
Dessel Sport
Zelzate
31
W
First Amateur Division
Dessel Sport
Royal Knokke
43
W
Head-to-Head ยท summary
0
Merelbeke
2
Draws
3
Dessel Sport
Previous meetings
First Amateur Division
Merelbeke
Dessel Sport
11
First Amateur Division
Dessel Sport
Merelbeke
21
First Amateur Division
Merelbeke
Dessel Sport
11
First Amateur Division
Merelbeke
Dessel Sport
15
First Amateur Division
Dessel Sport
Merelbeke
31
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Rochefort1062221:9+1220
2Meux1061316:9+719
3RW Daring Molenbeek Brussels 471061315:12+319
4Union Saint-Gilloise II1053217:10+718
5RAEC Mons1052322:16+617
6Tubize1052315:11+417
7Standard Liege 21041513:8+513
8RC Sporting Charleroi 21034310:10013
9ROC Charleroi1033413:22-912
10RSC Habay-La-Neuve92348:12-49
11Onhaye921610:20-107
12FC Flenu1001910:31-211
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport Prediction (Sep 30, 2026)

Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport prediction for their First Amateur Division meeting on September 30, 2026. The headโ€‘toโ€‘head record and recent form clearly point towards an away success; Dessel Sport holds a 55% win probability, Merelbeke sits at 20%, and the draw is rated at 25%.

Team Form

Merelbekeโ€™s last five results (most recent first): L, W, L, W, W. They fell 0โ€‘1 at home to Eupen in the Cup, but beat KRC Harelbeke 3โ€‘0 and Cercle Brugge II 3โ€‘1 in league matches. Sandwiched between those home wins was a 0โ€‘1 defeat at Belisia Bilzen.

Dessel Sportโ€™s recent form reads W, L, D, W, W. An impressive 4โ€‘3 away win at Tienen and a 2โ€‘0 Cup victory at KSK Heist show their attacking threat, though a 0โ€‘5 loss at Houtvenne underlines occasional fragility on the road. They have lost only once in their last five outings.

Headโ€‘toโ€‘Head Record

The last four meetings heavily favour Dessel Sport, who have won three and drawn one. Merelbeke have not beaten Dessel Sport in any of those fixtures. The most recent clash ended 2โ€‘1 for Dessel Sport (Jan 2026), while the only meeting at Merelbeke in this sample finished 1โ€‘1 (Nov 2025).

League Table Positions

Neither Merelbeke nor Dessel Sport appear in the top 12 of the current First Amateur Division standings. This suggests both sides are midโ€‘table or lower, battling for points outside the promotion spots. No exact rank is available from the provided data.

Win Probability: Merelbeke or Dessel Sport?

Based on the headโ€‘toโ€‘head dominance (0โ€‘1โ€‘3), comparable recent form, and the away teamโ€™s ability to score on the road, Dessel Sport has a 55% chance of winning. The draw stands at 25%, while Merelbekeโ€™s win probability is 20%. Home advantage for Merelbeke is mitigated by their inconsistent home record and the clear H2H deficit.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds are not currently available for this match. Based on the stats, Dessel Sport is the favourite to claim all three points. A cautious bet would be on an away win or a double chance (draw or away win), though the historical data strongly suggests the visitors should prevail.

Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport โ€” FAQ

Who will win Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport?
Dessel Sport is the predicted winner. Our probability calculation gives Dessel Sport a 55% chance, the draw 25%, and Merelbeke a 20% chance. The headโ€‘toโ€‘head record (three Dessel Sport wins and one draw from four meetings) heavily backs the away side.
What is the win probability for Dessel Sport?
Dessel Sport has a 55% win probability. This figure reflects their solid recent form (Wโ€‘Lโ€‘Dโ€‘Wโ€‘W), an excellent headโ€‘toโ€‘head record against Merelbeke, and the ability to score on the road, despite one heavy away defeat.
When is the Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport match?
The match is scheduled for September 30, 2026, at 19:00 CEST. It is a First Amateur Division fixture in Belgium.
What are the odds for Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport?
Odds are not currently available for this match. As the fixture date approaches, bookmakers will release 1X2 odds. Our probability estimate places Dessel Sport as the favourite.
What is the headโ€‘toโ€‘head record between Merelbeke and Dessel Sport?
In their last four meetings, Dessel Sport have won three times and drawn once. Merelbeke have yet to record a victory. The most recent encounter ended 2โ€‘1 to Dessel Sport on January 31, 2026.
Merelbeke โ€“ Dessel Sport ยท match page