Dessel Sport - Oud-Heverlee Leuven II prediction 24 October 2026

Dessel Sport vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II prediction for the First Amateur Division clash on October 24, 2026. Our analysis gives Dessel Sport a 40% chance of winning, while Oud-Heverlee Leuven II have a 35% probability, and the draw is rated at 25%. The match kicks off at 18:30 local time at Dessel Sport's home ground.

Team Form

Dessel Sport

Dessel Sport's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they have won twice, drawn once, and lost twice. Their most recent outing ended in a 4-3 home defeat to Belisia Bilzen on October 17, following a 2-0 away loss at Sportkring Roeselare. Before that, they secured a convincing 4-0 home win over KRC Harelbeke, a 1-1 draw at Merelbeke, and a 3-1 home victory against Cercle Brugge II. At home, they have been strong, winning two of their last three, scoring 10 goals in those three games.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven II

Oud-Heverlee Leuven II have been in better form overall, collecting three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. They started this run with a 3-2 away win at Thes Sport, followed by a 3-1 home win over K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar. A 3-2 defeat at Royal Knokke interrupted their momentum, but they bounced back with a goalless home draw against KSK Heist and a dominant 4-1 home win over KRC Harelbeke on October 18. Their away form shows one win and one loss in the last two road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The last five meetings between these teams have produced three wins for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II, two for Dessel Sport, and one draw. The most recent encounter, on March 1, 2026, saw Oud-Heverlee Leuven II run out 3-0 winners at home. However, when Dessel Sport host this fixture, they have been dominant, winning both previous home matches by identical 4-1 scorelines (in October 2025 and April 2025). The only draw in this series was a 1-1 result at Oud-Heverlee Leuven II's ground in March 2024. This history suggests that home advantage plays a significant role in this matchup.

Win Probability: Dessel Sport or Oud-Heverlee Leuven II?

Based on the available data—head-to-head record, recent form, and the home/away factor—we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Dessel Sport win: 40%
• Draw: 25%
• Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win: 35%

Dessel Sport's perfect home record in head-to-head meetings (two wins, eight goals scored) gives them a slight edge, despite Oud-Heverlee Leuven II's superior recent form. The away side has won three of their last five overall, but their away performances have been less convincing. The draw probability reflects the fact that both teams have shown they can cancel each other out, as seen in the 1-1 stalemate in 2024. Overall, Dessel Sport are the more likely winners, but the match is expected to be closely contested.

Odds & Match Prediction

At the time of writing, no bookmaker odds are available for this First Amateur Division fixture. When odds are released, Dessel Sport are likely to be priced as marginal favorites given their home advantage and historical dominance in this fixture. Our Dessel Sport vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II prediction is a home win, but with a note of caution: Oud-Heverlee Leuven II's recent form suggests they are capable of taking something from the game. A bet on Dessel Sport to win could offer value, but the draw is a realistic outcome. We recommend checking the latest team news and odds closer to kick-off before placing any bets.