| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 59:22 | +37 | 58 | |
| 2 | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 44:25 | +19 | 53 | |
| 3 | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 44:25 | +19 | 49 | |
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 36:32 | +4 | 42 | |
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 37:23 | +14 | 41 | |
| 6 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 37:32 | +5 | 41 | |
| 7 | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 40:31 | +9 | 40 | |
| 8 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 25:31 | -6 | 34 | |
| 9 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 31 | |
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 31 | |
| 11 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 42:49 | -7 | 29 | |
| 12 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 19:28 | -9 | 29 | |
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 | |
| 14 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 23 | |
| 15 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21:36 | -15 | 23 | |
| 16 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 12:50 | -38 | 4 |
This Navbahor Namangan vs Dinamo Samarqand prediction covers the Uzbekistan Super League match on Sep 17 at 13:00. Navbahor Namangan are the clear favorite with a 60% win probability, while Dinamo Samarqand have a 15% chance and the draw is at 25%.
Navbahor Namangan come into this match in strong form. Their last five results are W, D, W, W, W. They beat FK Buxoro 4-1 away on Sep 11, drew 1-1 with Lokomotiv Farm Tashkent on Sep 04, beat Nasaf Qarshi 1-0 in the Cup on Aug 30, beat Mashal Muborak 2-0 away on Aug 26, and beat Nasaf Qarshi 1-0 at home on Aug 21.
Dinamo Samarqand are unbeaten in their last five with W, D, D, W, D. They beat Qizilqum Zarafshon 1-0 at home on Sep 10, drew 1-1 at FK Kokand 1912 on Sep 05, drew 1-1 with Pakhtakor at home on Aug 25, beat AGMK Olmaliq 1-0 away on Aug 19, and drew 2-2 with Xorazm FK Urganch at home on Aug 14.
The head-to-head record is heavily in Navbahor Namangan's favor: 11 wins for Navbahor, 4 draws, and 0 wins for Dinamo Samarqand.
Navbahor Namangan are 3rd in the Super League table with 41 points from 21 matches (12W, 5D, 4L, goals 36:19). Dinamo Samarqand are 9th with 30 points from 21 matches (8W, 6D, 7L, goals 31:31). The gap between the teams is 11 points.
At home, Navbahor Namangan have 18 points from 10 matches (5W, 3D, 2L). Away from home, Dinamo Samarqand have 13 points from 10 matches (4W, 1D, 5L).
Using the average bookmaker odds as a base and adjusting for team form, head-to-head record, league table positions, and home advantage, Navbahor Namangan has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Dinamo Samarqand has a 15% chance. The total equals 100%.
The average odds imply about 58% for a home win, 28% for the draw, and 14% for an away win; the adjustment reflects Navbahor's stronger form and H2H dominance.
Who will win? Navbahor Namangan are the more likely winner. Their stronger league position, dominant H2H record, and recent home form all point to a home victory.
Bookmakers see Navbahor Namangan as the favorite. The 1X2 odds range from 1.40 to 1.48 for a home win, 2.38 to 4.57 for the draw, and 5.50 to 6.88 for an away win.
For betting tips, the home win is the strongest match outcome, but the odds are short. The draw is the second most likely result. Based on the stats, the final prediction is a Navbahor Namangan win.