Diosgyori VTK - Kazincbarcikai prediction 19 October 2026

Our Diosgyori VTK vs Kazincbarcikai prediction for this NB II clash on October 19, 2026, at 18:30 leans towards the home side. Based on odds and recent form, Diosgyori VTK has a 40% win probability, while the draw stands at 32% and Kazincbarcikai at 28%. Bookmakers also see the hosts as favorites, but the gap is narrower than the raw odds suggest.

Team Form

Diosgyori VTK come into this match with a solid recent record: D, W, W, W, L across their last five outings. Most recently, they drew 1–1 at home against Szentlorinc SE on October 13. Prior to that, they secured three consecutive wins – a 2–0 victory at Kozarmisleny, a 2–0 home win over Gyirmot, and a 4–1 cup success against MOL Fehervar FC. The only blemish was a 2–1 defeat at MOL Fehervar FC in early September. At home this season, Diosgyori have been inconsistent; they’ve managed 6 points from 5 league starts.

Kazincbarcikai’s form is W, L, L, D, D. They enjoyed a 3–0 home win against Karcag on October 10 but suffered a 4–1 loss at Mezokovesd-Zsory and a 2–1 cup defeat to Paksi SE. Two draws against Kecskemeti TE (2–2) and Szeged-Csanad Grosics Akademia (1–1) round out the sequence. Away from home in NB II, they have recorded one win, three draws, and one loss in five matches, showing resilience but also vulnerability.

Head-to-Head Record

The all-time head-to-head record reads 5 wins for Diosgyori VTK, 4 for Kazincbarcikai, with 4 draws. The most recent meeting, however, was a heavy 0–4 home loss for Diosgyori in NB I on March 13, 2026. The two previous encounters (November 2025 and August 2025) both ended in draws (1–1 and 2–2). A friendly in March 2024 saw Diosgyori win 3–0, and an older NB II fixture in 2023 ended 1–0 for Kazincbarcikai. The recent trend points to tight, often high-scoring games, with Kazincbarcikai winning the last meaningful home fixture for Diosgyori.

League Table Positions

In the overall NB II standings, Kazincbarcikai sit 6th with 16 points from 9 matches (4W, 4D, 1L), scoring 16 and conceding 11. Diosgyori VTK are 10th with 11 points from 9 games (3W, 2D, 4L) and a goal difference of 11–16. Looking at away form, Kazincbarcikai have collected 6 points from 5 travels (1W, 3D, 1L), while Diosgyori’s home record has not been among the league’s best – they are not in the top 8 home performers with 6 points from 5 fixtures. The table clearly favours the visitors, but home advantage and momentum could level the field.

Win Probability: Diosgyori VTK or Kazincbarcikai?

MANDATORY calculation based on odds, form, and standings: Diosgyori VTK has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Kazincbarcikai has a 28% chance. The raw odds (average 1.91 home, 2.71 draw, 3.65 away) implied probabilities of ~45% home, 32% draw, 24% away after removing the bookmaker margin. We adjusted those to reflect Kazincbarcikai’s superior league position (+5 points), better goal difference, and the head-to-head 4–0 defeat Diosgyori suffered at home earlier this year. However, Diosgyori’s three wins in their last five and home pitch still keep them as narrow favourites. The chances are close, and a draw is a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Prematch 1X2 odds from the data range as follows: home win 1.88–1.94, draw 2.20–3.70, away win 3.30–3.86. Bookmakers clearly see Diosgyori VTK as the favourite, but the wide draw and away ranges indicate uncertainty. Our prediction: based on the stats, this match is likely to be tight. A home win is the most probable single outcome, but the value may lie in the draw given the visitors’ away draws record and recent H2H draws. Total goals could be moderate – both teams have averaged just under 2.7 goals per game overall – but the recent H2H suggests at least two goals are likely. Expect a cautious, competitive NB II contest with the edge to the hosts, but a stalemate would not be a surprise.