Diosgyori VTK - Szentlorinc SE prediction 13 October 2026

The Diosgyori VTK vs Szentlorinc SE prediction for their NB II clash on October 13 at 17:00 sees the home side emerge as the favorite. Diosgyori VTK has a 51% win probability based on head-to-head dominance and recent form, while Szentlorinc SE trails at 25% with a 24% chance of a draw.

Team Form

Diosgyori VTK's recent form shows three wins and two losses in their last five matches. They secured an away victory at Kozarmisleny (2-0 on Oct 10) and home wins against Gyirmot (2-0 on Sep 19) and MOL Fehervar FC (4-1 in the Cup on Sep 12). Their two defeats came against MOL Fehervar FC (2-1 away) and Bvsc-Zuglo (0-2 at home).

Szentlorinc SE also has two wins and three losses in the same period. They defeated Bvsc-Zuglo (2-1 at home on Sep 20) and Gyulai Termal (1-0 away in the Cup), but lost their most recent match 3-0 at MOL Fehervar FC on Oct 10. Other losses include away games at Tiszakecske FC (2-0) and at home against FC Ajka (0-1).

Head-to-Head Record

The historical record heavily favors the home team. In seven previous meetings across all venues, Diosgyori VTK has won four times and Szentlorinc SE has won twice, with one draw. The most recent encounter on August 1, 2026, ended in a 0-0 stalemate. Before that, Diosgyori VTK thrashed Szentlorinc 5-1 at home on March 19, 2023, and beat them 1-0 in April 2022. Szentlorinc's victories were both 2-0 home wins back in October 2022.

League Table Positions

Both teams are level on points in the NB II table but sit in the lower half. Szentlorinc SE occupies 10th place with 10 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses; goals scored 8, conceded 12). Diosgyori VTK is 11th with an identical record of 8 played, 3 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses, having scored 10 and conceded 15. The home team's away form is stronger: Diosgyori VTK ranks 5th in the away table with 6 points from 5 games, while Szentlorinc SE's away results are not among the top eight.

Win Probability: Diosgyori VTK or Szentlorinc SE?

Diosgyori VTK has a 51% chance of winning, a draw has a 24% chance, and Szentlorinc SE has a 25% chance of winning. This calculation is based on the head-to-head record where Diosgyori VTK has won 4 of 7 meetings (57%), adjusted slightly downward given their recent inconsistent home form and identical points in the league. Szentlorinc SE's low win probability reflects their poor away record and recent 3-0 defeat. The draw is a realistic outcome, as seen in their match two months ago. Home advantage and historical dominance make Diosgyori VTK the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have listed the 1X2 market for this fixture. Diosgyori VTK is the clear favorite to win based on the stats. Head-to-head history shows a 5-1 victory the last time they hosted Szentlorinc SE, and coupled with the guests' recent heavy away loss, a home win is the most probable outcome. However, with both teams showing defensive vulnerabilities—Diosgyori conceding 2, 2, and 1 in recent losses and Szentlorinc conceding 3, 2, and 1—a bet on both teams to score could also be considered. The prediction is a low-scoring home victory for Diosgyori VTK, but the draw cannot be ruled out.