Dolny Kubin - Cadca prediction 3 October 2026

Dolny Kubin vs Cadca prediction for the 3 Liga match on October 3, 2026, examines whether the hosts can defy their poor form against an in-form Cadca side. The match kicks off at 14:00 in Slovakia, and based on odds, recent results, and head-to-head record, Cadca enters as the clear favorite with a 57% win probability, while Dolny Kubin's chances are estimated at just 18%.

Team Form

Dolny Kubin come into this fixture on a poor run, with results of L, L, D, W, L across their last five matches. Their only victory in that sequence was a 1-0 away win at Kysucke Nove Mesto on September 5. Otherwise, they suffered a 1-0 loss to FTC Filakovo, a 2-0 home defeat to Rimavska Sobota, a 1-1 draw at Sokol Medzibrod, and a heavy 6-0 thrashing at Ruzomberok B. The team has struggled offensively and defensively, conceding 10 goals in those five games while scoring just once in the three most recent outings.

Cadca, in contrast, boast a W, D, L, W, W record from their last five. Highlights include a dominant 6-0 home win against Kysucke Nove Mesto, a 1-0 away success at Fomat Martin, and a 3-1 cup victory over Kysucke Nove Mesto. A 1-1 draw at Namestovo and a 2-3 home loss to Ruzomberok B are the only blemishes. Cadca have netted 13 goals in this period, showing clear superiority in attack.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Dolny Kubin, who have won both previous meetings, with no draws and no Cadca victories. On April 30, 2022, Dolny Kubin won 4-1 at home, and earlier, on September 4, 2021, they claimed a 3-2 away win. Despite the current form disparity, this historical dominance gives Dolny Kubin some psychological edge.

Win Probability: Dolny Kubin or Cadca?

Our mandatory outcome probabilities, based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and head-to-head stats, are:
Dolny Kubin win: 18%
Draw: 25%
Cadca win: 57%
The calculation starts from the average normalized inverse of the available 1X2 odds (home 4.50/4.20, draw 2.50/4.20, away 1.95/1.57), which originally suggested around 51% for Cadca. We then adjusted upward for Cadca's superior form (3 wins in 5 vs. Dolny Kubin's 1 win) while reducing the home side's chances despite their perfect H2H. The draw probability reflects both teams' occasional sharing of points—Dolny Kubin drew one of their last five, Cadca one of theirs. The total equals 100%.

Dolny Kubin vs Cadca Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers see Cadca as the clear favorite. The best available odds show Dolny Kubin at 4.50, a draw at 2.50, and Cadca at 1.95. Our prediction takes into account that Cadca are in better form, scoring freely while Dolny Kubin leak goals. However, the hosts have a perfect H2H record, so an upset cannot be ruled out entirely. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is an away win for Cadca, but the draw also offers decent value. Given both teams' recent scorelines — Cadca capable of big wins, and Dolny Kubin often conceding multiple goals — a match with over 2.5 goals is plausible. Ultimately, we expect Cadca to have too much quality for the hosts on the day.