Drogheda Town - Trinity Donaghmede prediction 1 October 2026

Looking for a Drogheda Town vs Trinity Donaghmede prediction? The Leinster Senior League match on Oct 1, 2026, at 19:45 sees Drogheda Town as the favorite. Our analysis gives the home side a 38% win probability, with the draw at 30% and Trinity Donaghmede at 32%.

Team Form

Drogheda Town's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses. They started with a 4-1 victory over Greystones AFC on Sep 3, 2026, followed by a goalless draw against River Valley Rangers on Aug 20. A 2-0 win over Ballyoulster United on May 14 showed their capability, but back-to-back defeats—3-5 to Baldoyle United on Apr 30, 2025, and 0-1 to Blackrock College on Apr 24, 2025—highlight defensive vulnerabilities. Across these five games, Drogheda Town scored 9 goals and conceded 7, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.4 against.

Trinity Donaghmede have only one recent match in our data: a convincing 3-0 away win against Drogheda Town on Oct 30, 2024. That result gives them a perfect record in the sample, but the lack of recent fixtures makes their current form difficult to assess. Their last known performance showed strong attacking and defensive discipline.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met once before, on Oct 30, 2024, in the Leinster Senior League. Trinity Donaghmede won 3-0 away from home, taking the head-to-head advantage with one win, no draws, and no wins for Drogheda Town. The only previous encounter was dominated by the away side.

Win Probability: Drogheda Town or Trinity Donaghmede?

We calculated the outcome probabilities by combining bookmaker odds with team form and head-to-head data. The raw odds implied a home win chance around 40%, a draw near 29%, and an away win at 31%. Adjusting for Drogheda Town's two recent losses and Trinity Donaghmede's previous H2H victory, we see a slightly more balanced contest. The final probabilities are:

• Drogheda Town win: 38%
• Draw: 30%
• Trinity Donaghmede win: 32%

Drogheda Town holds a narrow edge thanks to home advantage and slightly better odds, but the match could go either way. The draw is a significant possibility at 30%.

Drogheda Town vs Trinity Donaghmede Prediction

Our prediction for this match is a narrow home win for Drogheda Town, but with a high chance of a draw. The 38% win probability for the hosts reflects their home advantage and bookmaker favoritism, yet Trinity Donaghmede's 32% chance and the 30% draw likelihood underline the competitive nature of this Leinster Senior League encounter. We recommend considering a double chance bet on Drogheda Town or draw.

Match Odds

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this fixture. One set shows Drogheda Town at 2.40, the draw at 2.62, and Trinity Donaghmede at 3.00. Another bookmaker prices a home win at 2.10, the draw at 3.80, and an away win at 2.75. These odds confirm Drogheda Town as the favorite, though the draw odds of 2.62–3.80 suggest uncertainty. The best price for a home win is 2.10, while Trinity Donaghmede backers can find 3.00.

Based on the stats, Drogheda Town is the predicted winner, but a draw is a real possibility. The home side must tighten their defense after conceding five goals in one of their recent defeats. Trinity Donaghmede will look to repeat their 3-0 triumph from 2024.