Maldon & Tiptree - Dulwich Hamlet prediction 24 October 2026

Maldon & Tiptree vs Dulwich Hamlet prediction for the Isthmian League Premier Division clash on Oct 24 at 15:00. Dulwich Hamlet comes in as the favorite, with a win probability of around 45%, while the hosts hold a 30% chance of victory.

Team Form

Maldon & Tiptree enter the match with a mixed recent record of W, D, L, L, L in their last five outings. They secured a 2-1 away win at Aveley on Oct 19 and drew 1-1 at Lewes on Oct 17, but suffered losses to Whyteleafe (1-2), Welling United (0-1), and Burgess Hill Town (1-4).

Dulwich Hamlet are in poor form, with their last five matches reading L, D, L, L, L. They lost 0-4 at home to Chatham Town on Oct 20, drew 2-2 at home to Carshalton Athletic, and were beaten away by Burgess Hill Town (0-2), Enfield Town (0-3), and Salisbury City (0-5) in the FA Cup. Their last away league matches all ended in defeats without scoring.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting on record came on Aug 8, 2026, when Dulwich Hamlet thrashed Maldon & Tiptree 6-0 at home in the same competition. Dulwich hold a 1-0 edge in head-to-head wins, with no draws.

League Table Positions

Dulwich Hamlet sit 12th in the overall standings with 17 points from 12 matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses; goals for 20, against 20). Maldon & Tiptree are not among the top 12 teams displayed, pointing to a lower position in the table. On home form, Dulwich are 5th (14 points from 7 games). Maldon’s home performance is not listed, but the gap in points suggests a clear advantage for the away side in the standings.

Win Probability: Maldon & Tiptree or Dulwich Hamlet?

After normalizing bookmaker odds and adjusting for team form and head-to-head data, we assign the following probabilities: Maldon & Tiptree win – 30%, Draw – 25%, Dulwich Hamlet win – 45%.

The odds market heavily favors Dulwich Hamlet (implied probability around 47%) despite their terrible recent form, because of their higher league position and the 6-0 H2H win. However, Maldon’s recent away victory and home draw lift their chances slightly above the raw odds, while Dulwich’s four straight losses without scoring keep the draw and home win probabilities alive.

Odds & Match Prediction

Available bookmaker odds show a home win for Maldon & Tiptree priced at 3.10, the draw at 3.60/3.75, and an away win for Dulwich Hamlet at 1.91/1.92. This puts Dulwich as the clear favorite. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Dulwich Hamlet victory, but the hosts may avoid defeat given Dulwich’s poor attacking form on the road. A low-scoring match is plausible, with a bet on the away side offering limited value at those odds unless Dulwich rediscover their early-season form.