Dunajska Luzna - Castkovce prediction 26 September 2026

This Dunajska Luzna vs Castkovce prediction covers the 3 Liga Slovakia match on Sep 26 at 14:30. Based on recent form and home advantage, Dunajska Luzna has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Castkovce has a 30% chance.

Team Form

Dunajska Luzna come into this match with mixed recent results. Their last five results are L, D, D, L, W, with the only win in that run coming from a 1-0 home victory over AS Trencin B on Aug 29. They also drew 1-1 with Gabcikovo and 2-2 at TJ Kovo Belusa, but lost 1-0 at MSK Senec and 2-1 at Svaty Jur in the Cup. Across those five matches, Dunajska Luzna scored 5 goals and conceded 6.

Castkovce have been more consistent in recent weeks. Their last five results are W, D, D, W, L. They beat KFC Komarno B 3-2 at home and Dunajska Streda B 3-1 away, drew 3-3 with FK Raca Bratislava and 1-1 with Slovan Duslo Sala, and lost 4-2 at FC Banik Prievidza. Castkovce scored 12 goals and conceded 11 in that run, showing strong attacking output but also a leaky defence.

Home and away split

Dunajska Luzna have played two recent home matches in the provided sample: a 1-1 draw with Gabcikovo and a 1-0 win over AS Trencin B. That unbeaten home league run gives them a small foundation for the Sep 26 fixture. Castkovce's away form is split, with a 3-1 win at Dunajska Streda B and a 4-2 loss at FC Banik Prievidza. Both Castkovce away matches produced goals, but the loss highlights defensive weakness.

Looking at the latest matches, Dunajska Luzna lost 1-0 at MSK Senec on Sep 18, while Castkovce beat KFC Komarno B 3-2 on Sep 19. That gives Castkovce the better immediate result heading into this match.

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H record between Dunajska Luzna and Castkovce shows 0 Dunajska Luzna wins, 0 draws, and 0 Castkovce wins. There are no previous meetings to influence this match outcome.

Dunajska Luzna vs Castkovce Prediction & Win Probability

This Dunajska Luzna vs Castkovce prediction is based on the available stats. Who will win? Based on the numbers, Dunajska Luzna are the slight favorite at home. The estimated win probability is Dunajska Luzna 40%, draw 30%, and Castkovce 30%. Home advantage gives Dunajska Luzna a slight edge, while Castkovce have better overall recent form but a 4-2 away loss at FC Banik Prievidza in their recent away record.

• Dunajska Luzna win: 40%
• Draw: 30%
• Castkovce win: 30%

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are listed in the source data for this 3 Liga fixture. Without listed bookmaker odds, this prediction focuses on team form and home advantage rather than market prices. For betting tips, the home win and draw split looks safer than an outright Castkovce away win, because Dunajska Luzna have avoided defeat in their last two home league matches. The final prediction for this Dunajska Luzna vs Castkovce match is a narrow home win or draw, with Castkovce still in with a chance because of their attacking output.

In terms of match outcome chances, Dunajska Luzna's home stability offsets Castkovce's stronger attacking form, which is why the win probability is close. The total goals trend also differs: Dunajska Luzna's last five matches averaged 2.2 total goals, while Castkovce's last five matches averaged 4.6 total goals.