Dunaujvaros - Erdi VSE prediction 12 August 2026
Dunaujvaros
Erdi VSEDunaujvarosErdi VSE
Ferencvaros IIDunaujvarosMTK IIDunaujvarosPecsi MFCDunaujvarosMajosi SEDunaujvarosNagykanizsai TEDunaujvarosDunaujvarosIvancsaErdi VSEDunaujvarosDunaujvarosPaksi SE IIPenzugyorDunaujvarosDunaujvarosPecsi MFCSzekszardDunaujvarosDunaujvarosMajosi SEDunaujvarosNagykanizsai TEKelenDunaujvarosBudafoki MTE-UjbudaErdi VSEErdi VSEPTE-PEACMTK IIErdi VSEErdi VSEKaposvari RakocziErdi VSESarbogard SEErdi VSEFerencvaros IIMajosi SEErdi VSEErdi VSEPecsi MFCErdi VSEIvancsaDunaharaszti MTKErdi VSEDunaujvarosErdi VSEErdi VSEPaksi SE IIErdi VSEBudaorsiErdi VSEBudaorsiBicskei TCErdi VSEDunaujvarosErdi VSEErdi VSEDunaujvarosErdi VSEDunaujvaros| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gyulai Termal | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 44:10 | +34 | 39 |
| 2 |  Erzsebeti SMTK Budapest | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 33:12 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |  III. Keruleti TUE | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16:6 | +10 | 26 |
| 4 |  Szeged Grosics Academia II | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:16 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 |  Csepel FC | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 27:20 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Vasas II | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 26:15 | +11 | 19 |
| 7 |  Ujpesti II | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 28:18 | +10 | 19 |
| 8 |  Monori SE | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 23:24 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Dabas | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:30 | -12 | 15 |
| 10 |  Bekescsaba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 |  Szolnoki MAV | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 28:31 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Honved II | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sandorfalvi Ske | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8:30 | -22 | 11 |
| 14 |  Hodmezovasarhely | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15:27 | -12 | 9 |
| 15 |  BKV Elore | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13:41 | -28 | 8 |
| 16 |  Szegedi Vasutas SE | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15:36 | -21 | 6 |
Dunaujvaros vs Erdi VSE Prediction (Aug 12)
The Dunaujvaros vs Erdi VSE prediction looks at this NB III match set for August 12, 2026, at 15:30. According to our dataโdriven win probability model, Erdi VSE has a 36% chance to win, a draw stands at 36%, and Dunaujvaros holds a 28% probability. This makes it a tight contest with the visitors holding a slight edge.
Team Form
Dunaujvaros enter this game on a poor run. Their last five matches all played away from home ended with two draws and three defeats: a 0โ0 draw at Ferencvaros II, a 0โ2 loss at MTK II, a 0โ2 loss at Pecsi MFC, a heavy 2โ7 defeat at Majosi SE, and a 1โ1 draw at Nagykanizsai TE. They scored only three goals while conceding 12 in that spell.
Erdi VSE, by contrast, are unbeaten in their last five outings, recording two wins and three draws. Their most recent results include a 3โ1 home victory over Paksi SE II, a 3โ3 home draw with Budaorsi, a 0โ0 friendly draw against Budaorsi, a 3โ1 friendly win at Bicskei TC, and a 3โ3 draw at Majosi SE. They have been consistent in front of goal, netting 12 goals in these five matches.
Head-to-Head Record
The two previous H2H meetings both took place at Erdi VSEโs ground. Dunaujvaros have yet to win, with one draw and one loss. The most recent clash on March 1, 2026, ended 3โ3, while the earlier encounter on October 29, 2023, saw Erdi VSE win 4โ1. The overall H2H record shows Erdi VSE leading with one win and one draw.
Win Probability: Dunaujvaros or Erdi VSE?
Our win probability calculation combines bookmaker odds, recent form, H2H data, and home advantage. The raw odds (averaged across three bookmakers) implied a home win around 32%, draw 38%, and away win 30% after removing the margin. Adjusting for current form and historical results, we shift the numbers slightly: Dunaujvaros win 28%, draw 36%, Erdi VSE win 36%. Erdi VSEโs unbeaten run and H2H edge make them the narrow favorite alongside a very high draw chance. Dunaujvarosโs poor scoring form and defensive issues reduce their likelihood despite playing at home.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available 1X2 odds show Dunaujvaros at 2.88, the draw at 2.28, and Erdi VSE at 3.00. Bookmakers see this as a very evenly matched contest with a slight preference for the draw. Our prediction: based on the stats, the most probable outcome is a draw, but Erdi VSEโs superior form gives them a real chance to take all three points. A lowโscoring match or a share of the spoils looks the most likely scenario.
Dunaujvaros vs Erdi VSE โ FAQ
- Who will win Dunaujvaros vs Erdi VSE?
- Our probability model gives Erdi VSE a 36% chance to win, the draw also 36%, and Dunaujvaros a 28% chance. This means Erdi VSE is the most likely winner by a very small margin, but the match is extremely open with a draw almost equally probable.
- What is the win probability for Erdi VSE?
- Erdi VSE has a 36% win probability. This is based on their strong recent form (unbeaten in five, two wins), a positive headโtoโhead record against Dunaujvaros, and balanced bookmaker odds.
- When is the Dunaujvaros vs Erdi VSE match?
- The match takes place on August 12, 2026, at 15:30 UTC. It is a Hungarian NB III fixture.
- What are the odds for Dunaujvaros vs Erdi VSE?
- The current odds (1X2) are around 2.78โ2.88 for a Dunaujvaros win, 2.28โ2.40 for the draw, and 2.85โ3.00 for an Erdi VSE victory. Bookmakers see a tight match with a slight leaning towards the draw.
- What is the headโtoโhead record between Dunaujvaros and Erdi VSE?
- In two previous meetings, both played at Erdi VSEโs stadium, Dunaujvaros are winless with one draw (3โ3 in March 2026) and one loss (4โ1 in October 2023). Erdi VSE lead the headโtoโhead with one win.