Ludogorets Razgrad II - Dunav Ruse prediction 3 October 2026

The Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets Razgrad II prediction for the B PFG clash on March 7, 2026 places the league leaders as overwhelming favorites. According to our win probability model, Dunav Ruse has a 70% chance to win, with a draw estimated at 20% and Ludogorets Razgrad II at 10%. Kick-off is at 13:30 UTC, and all indicators point towards a home victory.

Team Form

Dunav Ruse's recent form across all competitions reads D-W-D-D-L. While not flawless, they have lost just once in their last five outings, with three draws. Their overall league record of 19 wins, 9 draws, and only 3 losses underscores their dominance. Ludogorets Razgrad II's last five results: W-L-D-W-L. They suffered a 3-2 friendly defeat to Yantra Gabrovo on July 4 and a 1-0 league loss to Etar earlier in May. Their inconsistency, especially away from home, is a major concern.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these two sides, Dunav Ruse have won 5, Ludogorets Razgrad II 4, and 1 draw. The most recent league meeting, on August 30, 2025, saw Dunav Ruse claim a 3-1 away victory. Dunav have also won their last two league encounters against Ludogorets' second string, including a 1-0 home win in February 2025.

League Table Positions

Dunav Ruse sit top of the B PFG with 66 points from 31 matches (19 wins, 9 draws, 3 losses), boasting a +36 goal difference. They have the best home record in the league: 11 wins, 4 draws, just 1 defeat, and only 4 goals conceded in 16 home fixtures. In contrast, Ludogorets Razgrad II are 10th with 38 points (10 wins, 8 draws, 13 losses) and a negative -4 goal difference. Their away form is especially poor, managing only 8 goals in 16 away matches while conceding 21.

Win Probability: Dunav Ruse or Ludogorets Razgrad II?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Dunav Ruse 70%, Draw 20%, Ludogorets Razgrad II 10%. The heavy weighting toward the home side is driven by the massive gap in league positions (1st vs 10th), Dunav’s virtually impenetrable home defence, and their superior head-to-head record. Even though no official odds are available at this stage, all statistical indicators point to a comfortable Dunav Ruse victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

As of now, bookmakers have not released odds for this match. Once available, Dunav Ruse are expected to be short-priced favorites. Our prediction is a home win for Dunav Ruse, likely accompanied by a clean sheet given their defensive record at home. The most probable outcome is a Dunav Ruse victory, with the draw offering the only realistic chance for a surprise.