Armagh City - Dundela prediction 26 September 2026
Armagh City
DundelaArmagh City
Annagh UnitedRathfriland RangersArmagh CityStrabane AthleticArmagh CityArmagh CityDundelaLoughgallArmagh CityNewry CityArmagh CityMoyola ParkArmagh CityArmagh CityInstituteBallinamallard UnitedArmagh CityDundelaArmagh CityArdsArmagh CityWarrenpoint TownArmagh CityQueen's UniversityArmagh CityArmagh CityLoughgallArmagh CityBallinamallard UnitedInstituteDundelaDundelaRathfriland RangersNewry CityDundelaDundelaQueen's UniversityArmagh CityDundelaDundelaStrabane AthleticDundelaGlenavonH&W WeldersDundelaDundelaAnnagh UnitedArdsDundelaDundelaMoyola ParkCrusadersDundelaDundelaBangor FCDundelaGlentoranBallinamallard UnitedDundelaArmagh CityDundelaDundelaArmagh CityArmagh CityDundelaDundelaArmagh CityArmagh CityDundelaDundelaArmagh CityArmagh CityDundelaDundelaArmagh CityArmagh CityDundelaArmagh CityDundela| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Annagh United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 33:16 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Newington FC | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29:22 | +7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Glenavon | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30:14 | +16 | 24 |
| 4 |  Ballinamallard United | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 |
| 5 |  Queen's University | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22:14 | +8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Institute | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | +5 | 20 |
| 7 |  Newry City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:22 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 |  Warrenpoint Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:17 | +4 | 18 |
| 9 |  Loughgall | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:23 | -5 | 17 |
| 10 |  Ards | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 |  H&W Welders | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19:22 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  Moyola Park | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rathfriland Rangers | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Dundela | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19:24 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Strabane Athletic | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:22 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Armagh City | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 11:22 | -11 | 6 |
Armagh City vs Dundela Prediction (Sep 26)
The Armagh City vs Dundela prediction for September 26, 2026, points to a closely contested Championship 1 fixture at 15:00. Based on the latest odds and head-to-head record, Dundela enters as the slight favorite with a 41% win probability, while Armagh City has a 33% chance and the draw sits at 26%.
Team Form
Armagh City's recent form is a concern, with three losses and two draws in their last five outings. They have failed to win any of those matches, conceding heavily in defeats to Ballinamallard United (6-0) and Institute (4-1). Dundela's form is steadier but not spectacular, recording one win, three draws, and one loss. Their 3-2 home victory over Glenavon shows they can find the net, but defensive lapses have led to draws against Strabane Athletic and Ards.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record favors Dundela, who have won 5 of the 9 previous meetings, with Armagh City winning 3 and 1 draw. The most recent encounter in April 2026 ended 0-0, but Dundela won the two prior clashes 3-0 and 3-1. Armagh City's last win in this fixture was a 3-0 home victory in October 2025.
League Table Positions
In the Championship 1 standings, Dundela sits 12th with 8 points from 8 matches, while Armagh City is not listed in the top 12, suggesting they are lower in the table. Dundela's home form is stronger (8th with 6 points from 4 games) compared to their overall rank, indicating they are tough to beat at home. Armagh City's away form has been poor, with recent heavy defeats on the road.
Win Probability: Armagh City or Dundela?
After analyzing the available data, the win probabilities are: Armagh City 33%, Draw 26%, and Dundela 41%. These percentages are derived from the average bookmaker odds (inverse of 3.60, 2.78, and 2.13, normalized to 100%), adjusted for Dundela's superior head-to-head record (5 wins to 3) and Armagh City's poor recent form. Dundela's home advantage and slightly better league position further support their favorite status, but a high draw probability reflects both teams' recent tendency to share points.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see this as a tight contest. The best available odds are 3.75 for an Armagh City home win, 3.65 for the draw, and 1.85 for a Dundela away win. The low odds on Dundela confirm their status as the favorite. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Dundela victory, but a draw is a strong possibility given Armagh City's two recent stalemates and Dundela's three draws in five matches. A 1-1 or 2-1 scoreline in favor of the away side appears plausible.
Armagh City vs Dundela โ FAQ
- Who will win Armagh City vs Dundela?
- Dundela is the most likely winner with a 41% probability, compared to 33% for Armagh City and a 26% chance of a draw. This is based on Dundela's better head-to-head record and Armagh City's poor recent form.
- What is the win probability for Dundela?
- Dundela has a 41% chance of winning the match. This calculation uses the average bookmaker odds as a base, adjusted for their 5 wins in 9 head-to-head meetings and Armagh City's three losses in their last five games.
- When is the Armagh City vs Dundela match?
- The match is scheduled for September 26, 2026, at 15:00 local time. It is a Championship 1 fixture in Northern Ireland.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds are 3.75 for an Armagh City win, 3.65 for a draw, and 1.85 for a Dundela win. These odds indicate that bookmakers consider Dundela the clear favorite.