Ebbsfleet United - Horsham FC prediction 20 October 2026

Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham FC prediction for the National League South match on October 20, 2026, at 19:45. Based on the stats, Ebbsfleet United are the clear favorites with a 56% win probability, while Horsham FC have just a 15% chance.

Team Form

Ebbsfleet United are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches. Their recent league results include a 6-1 home victory over Weston Super Mare on October 17, a 5-0 thrashing of AFC Totton on October 13, a 2-0 away win at Hampton & Richmond on October 10, and a 1-0 home success against Folkestone Invicta on October 6. The only blemish was a 1-2 FA Cup loss to Sholing on October 3. In the National League South, Ebbsfleet remain undefeated with six wins and three draws.

Horsham FC have been inconsistent, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five outings. They beat Slough Town 2-1 away on October 17 and Walton & Hersham 3-0 away in the FA Cup on September 19, but lost 1-2 at home to Maidstone United on October 10 and 1-2 away at Plymouth Parkway in the FA Cup on October 3. A 0-0 draw at Chelmsford City on September 26 rounds out their recent form.

Head-to-Head Record

The last three meetings between these sides have seen Horsham FC hold the upper hand with one win and two draws. Ebbsfleet United have yet to beat Horsham. The most recent encounter on August 31, 2026, ended in a 0-0 stalemate. Earlier, they drew 1-1 on February 24, 2026, and Horsham won 2-1 on November 25, 2025.

League Table Positions

Ebbsfleet United sit 2nd in the National League South table with 21 points from 9 matches, having scored 20 goals and conceded only 4. They are undefeated in the league. At home, they have 11 points from 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) with 13 goals scored and just 2 conceded. Horsham FC are outside the top 12, indicating a lower-table position. Their away form has been mixed, with a recent win at Slough but a loss at Plymouth Parkway.

Win Probability: Ebbsfleet United or Horsham FC?

Ebbsfleet United have a 56% chance of winning this match, the draw is at 29%, and Horsham FC have a 15% chance. These probabilities are derived from bookmaker odds, adjusted for current form and league standings. Ebbsfleet's unbeaten league run, strong home defense, and high-scoring attack make them the clear favorites. Horsham's historical edge in head-to-head meetings adds some uncertainty, but their lower league position and inconsistent results reduce their chances.

Odds & Match Prediction

The average odds for this fixture are 1.44 for an Ebbsfleet United win, 2.80 for a draw, and 5.50 for a Horsham FC victory. Bookmakers heavily favor the home side. Based on the stats, Ebbsfleet United are expected to win, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the two recent stalemates between these teams. A low-scoring match is possible, with Ebbsfleet's defense likely to keep a clean sheet.