Ebbsfleet United - Maidenhead United prediction 24 October 2026

Our Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead United prediction for the National League South match on October 24, 2026, gives Ebbsfleet United a 65% chance of winning, with the draw at 20% and Maidenhead United at 15%. The match kicks off at 15:00 at Ebbsfleet's home ground, and all signs point to a home victory.

Team Form

Ebbsfleet United

Ebbsfleet United are flying high in the National League South, winning four of their last five matches across all competitions. In the league, they demolished Weston Super Mare 6-1 and AFC Totton 5-0 at home, and secured a 2-0 away win at Hampton & Richmond. A 1-0 home victory over Folkestone Invicta further underlined their consistency. The only blemish was a 1-2 FA Cup loss to Sholing, but their league form remains perfect with 6 wins and 3 draws from 9 games, scoring 20 goals and conceding just 4.

Maidenhead United

Maidenhead United's form is a cause for concern. They have lost three of their last five matches, including a 1-2 defeat at Maidstone United, a 0-1 home loss to Tonbridge Angels, and a heavy 0-4 home defeat to Torquay United. Their only win came away at Chesham United (4-0), and they managed a 2-2 home draw with Billericay Town. With just 1 win in 5, they are struggling for consistency and sit well below the playoff places.

Head-to-Head Record

Ebbsfleet United and Maidenhead United have faced each other 13 times. Ebbsfleet lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Maidenhead's 3, and 4 draws. Recent meetings heavily favor Ebbsfleet:

• Mar 17, 2026: Maidenhead United 2-3 Ebbsfleet United
• Jan 31, 2026: Ebbsfleet United 3-0 Maidenhead United
• Apr 26, 2025: Ebbsfleet United 0-2 Maidenhead United
• Jan 23, 2024: Maidenhead United 0-1 Ebbsfleet United
• Nov 21, 2023: Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Maidenhead United

Ebbsfleet have won three of the last five encounters, scoring 8 goals and conceding 5. Maidenhead's only win in that span came over a year ago.

League Table Positions

Ebbsfleet United are 2nd in the National League South with 21 points from 9 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses). They trail leaders Maidstone United by 4 points but have a game in hand. Ebbsfleet boast the league's best defensive record, conceding only 4 goals, and are unbeaten at home (3 wins, 2 draws). Maidenhead United are outside the top 12, at least 5 points behind 12th-placed Folkestone Invicta. The gulf in class and consistency is evident, with Ebbsfleet averaging 2.22 points per game compared to Maidenhead's likely sub-1.5 average.

Win Probability: Ebbsfleet United or Maidenhead United?

After analyzing team form, head-to-head records, league standings, and home advantage, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Ebbsfleet United 65%, Draw 20%, Maidenhead United 15%. Ebbsfleet's unbeaten league run, solid defense, and dominant H2H record make them overwhelming favorites. Maidenhead's poor recent form and lowly league position significantly reduce their chances of an upset. The draw probability reflects Ebbsfleet's occasional draws at home (2 in 5 games), but a home win is the most likely outcome.

Odds & Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead United Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not yet available for this fixture. However, based on the stats, Ebbsfleet United are the clear favorites. Our prediction is a home win for Ebbsfleet United, likely with a clean sheet given their defensive strength. A 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline is a realistic expectation. Bettors should look for Ebbsfleet to win and under 3.5 total goals as a potential betting tip.