Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura - EBK prediction 3 October 2026

The Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura vs EBK prediction for the Kakkonen match on Oct 3, 2026, at 13:00 points to an away win. Based on recent form and head-to-head dominance, EBK has a 55% chance of winning, while the home side Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura has just a 20% probability. The draw stands at 25%.

Team Form

Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura come into this match with a mixed run of results. Their last five matches have produced two wins and three losses (L, L, W, W, L). In that period they scored 9 goals but conceded 10, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. The most recent outing was a 3-2 away defeat to MuSA on Sep 26.

EBK have been more consistent, with only one loss in their last five (D, W, D, D, L). They have drawn three times, won once, and lost once, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their last match was a 1-1 home draw against GrIFK Grankulla on Sep 26. The away side’s ability to avoid defeats gives them a clear edge in form.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is completely one-sided. All three previous meetings have been won by EBK, with Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura yet to register a win or even a draw. The most recent clash was on Sep 19, 2026, when EBK thrashed Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura 4-0 away from home. Overall, EBK have scored 10 goals and conceded only 2 in this fixture, underlining their dominance.

Win Probability: Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura or EBK?

Based on the available data — head-to-head record, recent form, and home/away factor — the win probabilities are calculated as follows:

• EBK win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura win: 20%

EBK’s perfect H2H record (3 wins from 3) and their more stable form (only one loss in five) make them the clear favorite. Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura’s home advantage is offset by their defensive issues and the psychological edge EBK hold from the recent 4-0 victory. The draw probability reflects EBK’s tendency to share points lately (three draws in five), but the overall balance strongly favors an away win.

Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura vs EBK Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers’ odds are not available in the provided data, so a direct odds comparison cannot be made. However, based on the stats, EBK are expected to win. The head-to-head history and current form point to an away victory, likely with a margin of one or two goals. A draw cannot be ruled out given EBK’s recent run of stalemates, but the most probable match outcome is an EBK win. For betting tips, backing EBK to win or the over 2.5 goals market (given the 4-0 and 3-1 scorelines in recent H2Hs) could offer value if odds become available.