Egri FC - Diosgyori VTK II prediction 3 October 2026

Egri FC vs Diosgyori VTK II prediction for the NB III match on October 3, 2026, at 10:00. Based on our analysis of team form, head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds, Egri FC holds a slight edge with a 35% win probability, while the draw is also at 35%, and Diosgyori VTK II has a 30% chance. This is a tight Hungarian third-division clash where home advantage could be decisive.

Team Form

Egri FC's recent form has been poor. In their last five matches, they have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses (L, L, D, L, W). Their most recent outing was a heavy 5-1 defeat away to Hajdunanas FK on September 27. Before that, they lost 4-0 at Godolloi SK, drew 1-1 at home with Kisvarda 2, lost 5-2 at Debrecen II, and beat Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC II 2-1 at home on August 15. Defensive frailties are evident, conceding 16 goals in those five games.

Diosgyori VTK II, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last five matches (W, D, D, W, D). They started with a 2-2 draw at Kisvarda 2 on August 9, then beat Godolloi SK 1-0 at home, drew 0-0 with Debrecen II, drew 2-2 with Hajdunanas FK, and most recently thrashed DEAC Debreceni EAC 5-2 at home on September 26. They have been solid, scoring 10 goals and conceding 6 in that run.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record favours Egri FC. In their last 8 meetings (based on available data), Egri FC have won 4, Diosgyori VTK II have won 2, and 2 matches ended in draws. The most recent encounter was on November 23, 2025, when Diosgyori VTK II hosted Egri FC and it finished 2-2. Earlier in 2025, Egri FC won 2-1 at home on August 6, and the teams played a 0-0 draw on April 13. The historical edge, especially at home, gives Egri FC confidence.

League Table Positions

The provided NB III standings do not include Egri FC or Diosgyori VTK II among the top 12 teams. Therefore, their exact league positions are unknown. However, the competitive nature of the division means that both sides will be eager to climb the table, adding extra motivation to this fixture.

Win Probability: Egri FC or Diosgyori VTK II?

We calculate the win probabilities by starting with the average bookmaker odds and adjusting for team form and head-to-head records. The raw implied probabilities from the odds (home 2.88, draw 2.30, away 2.88 and similar) gave a nearly even split, but after removing the margin, the market saw a slight away lean. However, Egri FC's strong H2H record and home advantage counterbalance their recent poor form. Diosgyori VTK II's unbeaten run is impressive but includes three draws. Taking all factors into account, we assign:

• Egri FC win: 35%
• Draw: 35%
• Diosgyori VTK II win: 30%

Thus, Egri FC has a slightly higher chance of winning, but the draw is equally likely. The match is expected to be close.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer a range of odds for this NB III fixture. The best available odds at the time of writing are: home win around 2.45, draw around 3.70, and away win around 2.30. The average odds across multiple bookies are approximately 2.83 for a home win, 2.71 for the draw, and 2.65 for an away win. These odds reflect the tight nature of the contest.

Our prediction: based on the stats, the most probable outcome is a draw, but Egri FC’s home advantage and historical edge make them the slight favourites. A low-scoring affair is likely, with under 2.5 goals a plausible betting tip. However, given the defensive issues of Egri FC, both teams to score could also be considered.