South Sudan - Egypt prediction 29 September 2026

Our South Sudan vs Egypt prediction for the African Cup of Nations clash on September 29, 2026, gives Egypt a commanding 72% win probability. The match kicks off at 14:00 local time, with Egypt heavily favored by bookmakers and stats alike.

Team Form

South Sudan's recent form has been poor, with just one win in their last five outings (W1 D1 L3). They suffered a 2-1 defeat to Malawi on September 25, lost 1-0 at home to Djibouti 1979 in March, and were beaten 2-0 by Syria in the Arab Cup. A 4-0 away win over Djibouti 1979 and a goalless draw with Togo are the only bright spots.

Egypt, meanwhile, have faced tougher opposition, including World Cup matches. Their last five results show one win, three draws, and one loss (W1 D3 L1). They drew 0-0 with Angola in their most recent AFCON qualifier, lost narrowly 3-2 to Argentina, and drew 1-1 with both Australia and Iran. A 3-1 victory over New Zealand in the World Cup highlights their capability.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, in a friendly on June 18, 2023. Egypt cruised to a 3-0 home win, underlining the gulf in class. South Sudan have never beaten Egypt.

Win Probability: South Sudan or Egypt?

Based on odds, recent form, and head-to-head history, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: South Sudan 5%, Draw 23%, Egypt 72%. The home advantage for South Sudan is minimal given Egypt's superior squad and experience. Egypt's consistent performances against World Cup-level teams make them the clear favorite to win this African Cup of Nations fixture.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds reflect Egypt's dominance. The best available odds for an Egypt win range from 1.17 to 1.57, while a South Sudan victory is priced as high as 17.67. The draw odds vary between 2.32 and 6.56. Our South Sudan vs Egypt betting tips point to an away win, with Egypt likely to secure three points. Based on the stats, a low-scoring affair is possible, but Egypt's quality should prevail.