Ehime FC - TheSpa Kusatsu Gunma prediction 3 October 2026

On October 3, 2026, at 07:00, Ehime FC host TheSpa Kusatsu Gunma in a J3 League fixture. This Ehime FC vs TheSpa Kusatsu Gunma prediction breaks down all the key stats, form, and probabilities. Based on the data, Ehime FC enter as the clear favorites with a 60% win chance.

Team Form

Ehime FC are in strong form with three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five competitive matches. They drew 1-1 away at FC Ryukyu, beat Kamatamare Sanuki 2-1 at home, lost 2-1 away at FC Osaka, then posted back-to-back home wins – 4-2 against Giravanz Kitakyushu and 1-0 versus Blaublitz Akita in the League Cup. At home in the J3 League, Ehime boast a perfect record of 4 wins from 4, scoring 14 goals and conceding only 4.

TheSpa Kusatsu Gunma, in contrast, have struggled badly. Their last five matches read 1 win and 4 losses. They lost 1-0 at home to Roasso Kumamoto, beat Kochi United SC 1-0, then suffered three straight defeats – 2-0 away at Renofa Yamaguchi, 3-1 at home to Fukushima United FC, and 2-1 at home to Albirex Niigata in the Cup. That poor run leaves them well outside the promotion picture.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met seven times in recent history, with the head-to-head split exactly even: Ehime FC 3 wins, 3 TheSpa Kusatsu Gunma wins, and 1 draw. Looking at the most recent encounters, Ehime won the last meeting 1-0 away in March 2024. Before that, TheSpa had a 2-1-0 edge in the previous three, including a 2-1 away win and a 1-0 home victory, plus a 1-1 draw. The head-to-head is finely balanced historically, but current trajectories are very different.

League Table Positions

Ehime FC sit 2nd in the J3 League with 17 points from 8 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 19 goals and conceded 9 – the second-best goal difference in the division. At home they are ranked 1st with maximum 12 points from 4 games (14 goals for, 4 against). TheSpa Kusatsu Gunma do not feature in the top 12 of the overall, home or away standings, indicating they are languishing in the lower half of the table. The gulf in league positions is significant.

Win Probability: Ehime FC or TheSpa Kusatsu Gunma?

After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are:

• Ehime FC: 60%
• Draw: 20%
• TheSpa Kusatsu Gunma: 20%

This calculation is based on current form (Ehime 3W-1D-1L, TheSpa 1W-4L), home advantage (Ehime perfect 4 wins from 4 at home), league table positions (2nd vs outside top 12), and the head-to-head trend (Ehime won the most recent clash). The conclusion is that Ehime FC are the most likely winners, with TheSpa facing an uphill battle to take even a point.

Odds & Match Prediction

No current bookmaker odds are available in the supplied data. However, based solely on the statistical profile – form, league standing, H2H and home advantage – the implied probabilities point strongly to an Ehime FC win. Our Ehime FC vs TheSpa Kusatsu Gunma prediction is a home victory, likely by a margin that reflects their attacking output of nearly 2.4 goals per game at home. The data suggests a low chance of an away upset, though the draw cannot be ruled out given the balanced historical H2H.