Real Oviedo - Eibar prediction 12 October 2026

Spain ยท SegundaFinished
Real Oviedo
3:1
FT
Eibar
Match Info
CompetitionSegunda ยท Spain
Start date
Kick-off
Recent Form
Real Oviedo
D
W
W
L
W
Eibar
L
D
L
W
W
Recent matches ยท Real Oviedo
Segunda
Almeria
Real Oviedo
22
D
Segunda
AD Ceuta
Real Oviedo
12
W
Segunda
Real Oviedo
Eibar
31
W
Segunda
Eldense
Real Oviedo
41
L
Segunda
Real Oviedo
Sporting Gijon
20
W
Segunda
Sabadell
Real Oviedo
31
L
Segunda
Valladolid
Real Oviedo
03
W
Segunda
Real Oviedo
Burgos CF
00
D
Segunda
Albacete
Real Oviedo
01
W
Segunda
Real Oviedo
Leganes
01
L
Segunda
Real Oviedo
Granada CF
00
D
Friendly Clubs
Real Oviedo
Le Havre
32
W
Friendly Clubs
Nurnberg
Real Oviedo
21
L
Friendly Clubs
Real Oviedo
Ponferradina
40
W
Friendly Clubs
Real Oviedo
Deportivo La Coruna
00
D
Recent matches ยท Eibar
Segunda
Cordoba CF
Eibar
20
L
Segunda
Eibar
Mallorca
11
D
Segunda
Real Oviedo
Eibar
31
L
Segunda
Albacete
Eibar
13
W
Segunda
Eibar
Las Palmas
32
W
Segunda
Eldense
Eibar
12
W
Segunda
Celta Vigo B
Eibar
04
W
Segunda
Eibar
Granada CF
30
W
Segunda
FC Andorra
Eibar
01
W
Segunda
Eibar
Valladolid
10
W
Segunda
Eibar
Tenerife
13
L
Friendly Clubs
Real Union de Irun
Eibar
11
D
Friendly Clubs
Eibar
Arenas Club de Getxo
50
W
Friendly Clubs
Real Sociedad B
Eibar
01
W
Friendly Clubs
Athletic Bilbao
Eibar
22
D
Head-to-Head ยท summary
2
Real Oviedo
4
Draws
3
Eibar
Previous meetings
Segunda
Real Oviedo
Eibar
31
Segunda
Eibar
Real Oviedo
11
Segunda
Real Oviedo
Eibar
21
Segunda
Real Oviedo
Eibar
11
Segunda
Eibar
Real Oviedo
10
Friendly Clubs
Real Oviedo
Eibar
00
Segunda
Real Oviedo
Eibar
11
Segunda
Eibar
Real Oviedo
10
Friendly Clubs
Eibar
Real Oviedo
10
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Castellon1182122:4+1826
2Almeria1181222:9+1325
3Eibar1171320:13+722
4Girona1163222:10+1221
5Granada CF1162318:14+420
6Mallorca1154213:6+719
7Sporting Gijon1161411:13-219
8Real Oviedo1153315:12+318
9Burgos CF1052313:10+317
10Sabadell1145211:9+217
11Cordoba1150617:20-315
12Tenerife1135313:15-214
13Eldense1142513:15-214
14Las Palmas1142514:19-514
15Valladolid1133516:16012
16Celta Vigo B1133516:21-512
17Leganes113357:16-912
18Cadiz1124514:14010
19FC Andorra1031613:17-410
20Real Sociedad B1122714:22-88
21AD Ceuta1112810:25-155
22Albacete111198:22-144
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Real Oviedo vs Eibar Prediction (Oct 12)

The Real Oviedo vs Eibar prediction for the Segunda clash on Oct 12 at 17:30 points towards an away victory. Eibar enters the match as the league leader and clear favorite, holding a 48% win probability. Real Oviedo will look to leverage home advantage at the Estadio Carlos Tartiere, but faces a tough challenge.

Team Form

Eibar is in stunning form with five consecutive wins. They have defeated Albacete (3-1), Las Palmas (3-2), Eldense (2-1), Celta Vigo B (4-0), and Granada CF (3-0) in their last five matches. This dominant run showcases their attacking power and defensive solidity.

Real Oviedo's recent form is inconsistent, recording two losses, two wins, and one draw in their last five. Their results include a 4-1 loss to Eldense, a 2-0 win over Sporting Gijon, a 3-1 loss to Sabadell, a 3-0 win against Valladolid, and a 0-0 draw with Burgos CF. The team has struggled for consistency.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams slightly favors Eibar. In eight previous meetings, Eibar has 3 wins, Real Oviedo has 1 win, and there have been 4 draws. The most recent match, on Apr 5, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw. Real Oviedo's last win came on Nov 19, 2023, with a 2-1 scoreline.

League Table Positions

There is a significant gap in the league table. Eibar sits at the top in 1st place with 21 points from 8 matches, having won 7 and lost just 1. Their goal difference is +11 (18 scored, 7 conceded). Real Oviedo is down in 10th place with 11 points from 8 matches, with a record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, and a goal difference of 0 (8 scored, 8 conceded). Eibar's away form is perfect with 4 wins from 4, scoring 10 and conceding only 2.

Win Probability: Real Oviedo or Eibar?

Based on the stats, Eibar has a 48% chance of winning, a draw has a 27% probability, and Real Oviedo has a 25% chance. These percentages are calculated by normalizing the inverse of the available bookmaker odds to remove the margin, and then adjusting for Eibar's superior form and table position. Eibar's perfect away record and Real Oviedo's mid-table home struggles heavily influence this prediction. Eibar is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Real Oviedo as the home favorite in the 1X2 market, with odds ranging from 2.20 to 2.41 for a home win. The draw is priced around 2.02 to 3.17, and an Eibar away win is available at odds from 3.25 to 3.80. Despite the odds implying a home advantage, our prediction for Real Oviedo vs Eibar is an away win. Eibar's relentless form and top league position make the higher odds for an away victory a compelling betting tip.

Real Oviedo vs Eibar โ€” FAQ

Who will win Real Oviedo vs Eibar?
Based on the analysis, Eibar is the more likely winner. The calculated win probabilities are: Eibar 48%, a draw 27%, and Real Oviedo 25%. Eibar's perfect away record and position at the top of the league table are the main factors.
What is the win probability for Eibar?
Eibar has a 48% chance of winning the match. This high probability is based on their excellent form with five straight wins and their 1st place position in the Segunda standings, adjusted against the bookmaker odds.
When is the Real Oviedo vs Eibar match?
The match is scheduled for Oct 12 at 17:30 local time. It will be played at the Estadio Carlos Tartiere in Oviedo, as part of the Segunda competition in Spain.
What are the odds for the match?
The available pre-match odds for the 1X2 market show a home win for Real Oviedo priced between 2.20 and 2.41, a draw between 2.02 and 3.17, and an away win for Eibar between 3.25 and 3.80.
Real Oviedo โ€“ Eibar ยท match page