Ekranas Panevezio - FK Tauras Taurage prediction 30 October 2026

The Ekranas Panevezio vs FK Tauras Taurage prediction for this 1 Lyga fixture on Oct 30 at 15:00 sees the visitors as the clear favorites. Based on our win probability analysis, FK Tauras Taurage has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Ekranas Panevezio has a 20% chance. The match is scheduled to kick off at 15:00 on October 30, 2026, in the Lithuanian 1 Lyga.

Team Form

Ekranas Panevezio's recent form has been poor. In their last five matches, they have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses (W, L, D, L, L). Their most recent outing was a 2-0 away win against Neptunas Klaipeda on Oct 24, which ended a difficult run. Before that, they suffered a 3-1 home defeat to Dainava Alytus, a 1-1 draw with FK Transinvest B, a heavy 6-2 home loss to FA Siauliai B, and a 2-1 away loss to FK Kauno Zalgiris B.

FK Tauras Taurage's form is slightly better, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five (L, D, D, W, L). They are coming off a 2-1 home loss to Be1 NFA Kaunas on Oct 24. Prior to that, they played out a 4-4 draw at Hegelmann Litauen B, a 0-0 home draw with Minija Kretinga, a 3-2 away win over Lietava Jonava, and a 1-0 home defeat to Vilnius Zalgiris B.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, FK Tauras Taurage have dominated this fixture. In the last five meetings, FK Tauras Taurage have won three, with two draws, and Ekranas Panevezio have yet to secure a victory. The most recent clash was on Jun 20, 2026, in the 1 Lyga, where FK Tauras Taurage won 2-1 at home. In the 1 Lyga on Oct 17, 2025, FK Tauras Taurage won 3-1 away. The two sides also drew 2-2 on Mar 17, 2024, and 0-0 in a Cup match on Apr 11, 2026.

League Table Positions

FK Tauras Taurage sit 6th in the 1 Lyga overall standings with 44 points from 27 matches (13 wins, 5 draws, 9 losses). Their away record is less impressive, with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses from 14 matches, leaving them 6th in the away table. Ekranas Panevezio are not featured in the provided league standings, indicating they are outside the top 12 positions. This gap in the table heavily favors the visitors.

Win Probability: Ekranas Panevezio or FK Tauras Taurage?

The mandatory win probability calculation, based on the available odds, team form, and head-to-head record, gives FK Tauras Taurage a 55% chance of winning, a 25% chance for the draw, and Ekranas Panevezio a 20% chance of winning. The probability base was derived from the most realistic bookmaker odds (1.78 for an away win, 2.58 for the draw, 5.55 for a home win). After normalizing to remove the margin, the points imply an away win probability of roughly 51%, a draw of 32%, and a home win of 17%. These were then adjusted to 55%-25%-20% to reflect FK Tauras Taurage's superior head-to-head record (3 wins, 2 draws in the last 5) and higher league position, while slightly downgrading the home side's chances due to their poor recent form. FK Tauras Taurage is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 betting odds price FK Tauras Taurage as the favorite for this match. The primary market shows the away win at 1.78, the draw at 2.58, and a home win for Ekranas Panevezio at 5.55. These odds clearly reflect the visitors' stronger position in the league and historical advantage. Based on the stats, the prediction is an away win for FK Tauras Taurage, though the draw should not be ruled out given both teams' inconsistent form.