22 de Julio FC - El Nacional prediction 7 October 2026
22 de Julio FC
El Nacional22 de Julio FC
LDU PortoviejoCumbaya22 de Julio FC22 de Julio FCEl NacionalGualaceo SC22 de Julio FCLDU Portoviejo22 de Julio FC22 de Julio FCCumbayaEl Nacional22 de Julio FC22 de Julio FCGualaceo SC22 de Julio FCCD Santo DomingoLDU Portoviejo22 de Julio FC22 de Julio FCDeportivo Cuenca JuniorsIndependiente Juniors22 de Julio FC22 de Julio FCEl Nacional9 de Octubre22 de Julio FCGualaceo SC22 de Julio FCCumbayaEl NacionalEl NacionalCD Santo Domingo22 de Julio FCEl NacionalLDU PortoviejoEl NacionalEl NacionalCumbayaCD Santo DomingoEl NacionalEl Nacional22 de Julio FCEl NacionalLDU PortoviejoGualaceo SCEl NacionalIndependiente JuniorsEl NacionalEl NacionalSan Antonio CotacachiEl Nacional9 de Octubre22 de Julio FCEl NacionalEl NacionalGualaceo SCCuniburo Vinotinto FC EcuadorEl Nacional22 de Julio FCEl NacionalEl Nacional22 de Julio FC22 de Julio FCEl NacionalEl Nacional22 de Julio FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente Juniors | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 28:16 | +12 | 39 |
| 2 |  Atletico FC | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 25:14 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  9 de Octubre | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 22:14 | +8 | 37 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 |  Cuniburo Vinotinto FC Ecuador | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:17 | +8 | 31 |
| 6 |  San Antonio Cotacachi | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 24:21 | +3 | 31 |
| 7 |  Gualaceo SC | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 19:16 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 |  CD Santo Domingo | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 17:16 | +1 | 28 |
| 9 |  LDU Portoviejo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 17:22 | -5 | 27 |
| 10 |  Cumbaya | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 22:22 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio FC | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10:31 | -21 | 15 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15:32 | -17 | 12 |
22 de Julio FC vs El Nacional Prediction (Oct 7)
This 22 de Julio FC vs El Nacional prediction covers the Serie B fixture on Oct 7 at 21:00 in Ecuador. Based on the odds, head-to-head record and current form, El Nacional is the favorite with a 45% win probability, while 22 de Julio FC has 25% and the draw 30%.
Team Form
22 de Julio FC
22 de Julio FC enter this match with a poor run: L, D, L, L, L in their last five Serie B results. They lost 4-2 at Gualaceo SC on Oct 3, drew 2-2 at LDU Portoviejo on Sep 24, lost 1-7 at home to Cumbaya on Sep 17, lost 0-3 at El Nacional on Sep 12 and lost 0-3 at home to Gualaceo SC on Sep 4.
El Nacional
El Nacional also arrive with weak recent form: L, L, L, W, L. They lost 3-2 at LDU Portoviejo on Oct 3, lost 0-3 at home to Cumbaya on Sep 26, lost 1-0 at CD Santo Domingo on Sep 18, beat 22 de Julio FC 3-0 on Sep 12 and lost 0-2 at home to LDU Portoviejo on Sep 5.
Head-to-Head Record
The last three head-to-head matches in Serie B favour El Nacional. The record is 22 de Julio FC 0 wins, 1 draw, and El Nacional 2 wins.
- May 9, 2026: El Nacional 1-1 22 de Julio FC
- Jul 31, 2026: 22 de Julio FC 1-3 El Nacional
- Sep 12, 2026: El Nacional 3-0 22 de Julio FC
El Nacional has won the last two H2H meetings with a combined score of 6-1.
League Table Positions
Both teams are in the bottom two of the Serie B table. 22 de Julio FC are 11th with 15 points from 22 matches, having won 4, drawn 3 and lost 15, with 10 goals scored and 31 conceded. El Nacional are 12th with 12 points from 22 matches, having won 2, drawn 6 and lost 14, with 15 goals scored and 32 conceded.
The home side has a three-point advantage, but neither team has found consistency this season.
Win Probability: 22 de Julio FC or El Nacional?
Averaging the three available 1X2 odds and normalizing for the bookmaker margin gives a base probability of roughly 26% for a home win, 32% for the draw and 42% for an away win. Adjusting for the head-to-head record, recent form and home/away factor, 22 de Julio FC has a 25% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and El Nacional has a 45% chance.
El Nacional is the more likely winner based on the stats.
Odds & 22 de Julio FC vs El Nacional Prediction
The available 1X2 odds list a 22 de Julio FC win at 3.50 to 3.78, the draw at 2.30 to 3.94, and an El Nacional win at 2.01 to 2.30. Bookmakers see El Nacional as the favorite with the lowest odds.
Our match prediction is an away win for El Nacional. The H2H record, lower odds and 22 de Julio FC's run of one point from the last five matches give El Nacional the edge for this Serie B betting tip.
22 de Julio FC vs El Nacional โ FAQ
- Who will win 22 de Julio FC vs El Nacional?
- El Nacional is the more likely winner. 22 de Julio FC has a 25% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and El Nacional has a 45% chance. El Nacional has won two of the last three head-to-head meetings.
- What is the win probability for El Nacional?
- El Nacional has a 45% chance to win. This is based on the 1X2 odds, the head-to-head record and recent form. Bookmakers list El Nacional as the favorite with odds ranging from 2.01 to 2.30.
- When is the 22 de Julio FC vs El Nacional match?
- The match is on Oct 7, 2026, at 21:00. It is a Serie B match in Ecuador.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The available odds are: 22 de Julio FC win at 3.50 to 3.78, draw at 2.30 to 3.94, and El Nacional win at 2.01 to 2.30. El Nacional has the lowest odds and is the favorite.
- How have both teams performed recently?
- 22 de Julio FC have lost four of their last five matches with one draw, while El Nacional have one win and four losses in their last five. El Nacional beat 22 de Julio FC 3-0 on Sep 12, 2026.