Elazigspor - Erciyes 38 FSK prediction 27 October 2026

The Elazigspor vs Erciyes 38 FSK prediction for this Cup match in Turkey on Oct 27 at 12:00 sees Elazigspor as the favorite with a win probability of around 55%. The sides meet with no previous head-to-head record, but Elazigspor’s higher division status and strong recent form give them a clear edge.

Team Form

Elazigspor enters the match with a last-five form guide of W, W, D, W, D. In their most recent outing they won 4-3 away at Isparta 32 Spor Davrazspor. The sequence includes a commanding 3-0 home win over Arnavutkoy and a 5-0 demolition of Aliaga Futbol. The two draws, both goalless away, show defensive solidity on the road. Overall, Elazigspor scored 12 goals and conceded only 3 in those five fixtures.

Erciyes 38 FSK also brings solid form: W, W, D, D, W. They beat Kahta 02 Spor 2-0 at home in the Cup, edged Kirikkale Buyuk Anadoluspor 2-1, and won 2-0 against Mazidagi Fosfat Spor. Two draws against Malatya Yesilyurt Belediyespor (3-3 home, 0-0 away) complete an unbeaten five-match run. However, these matches came in the 3 Lig, two tiers below Elazigspor’s 2 Lig competition.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recorded head-to-head history between Elazigspor and Erciyes 38 FSK. The data shows 0 wins for the home side, 0 draws, and 0 away wins, meaning this Cup tie will be their first-ever meeting.

Win Probability: Elazigspor or Erciyes 38 FSK?

Based on the average bookmaker odds from multiple bookmakers (home 1.74, draw 3.33, away 4.65), the raw implied probabilities after removing the margin are roughly 52.7% for Elazigspor, 27.6% for the draw, and 19.7% for Erciyes 38 FSK. Taking into account Elazigspor’s higher division, home advantage, and a dominant scoring run in recent home games, we adjust the final win probabilities to:

• Elazigspor win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• Erciyes 38 FSK win: 20%

Elazigspor is clearly the more likely winner, but the draw still holds a meaningful chance if Erciyes 38 FSK can maintain their unbeaten streak.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this Cup fixture show a clear hierarchy. Home win odds range from 1.50 to 2.00, the draw is priced between 2.45 and 4.50, and an away win can be found at 4.33 to 4.90. The best available odds for an Elazigspor victory sit around 1.50, reflecting strong market confidence. Based on the stats, form gap, and home advantage, the prediction is an Elazigspor win. The probability model supports a home result, though the odds suggest the draw is not fully ruled out.