JK Nomme Kalju II - Elva prediction 18 October 2026

The Elva vs JK Nomme Kalju 2 prediction for September 6, 2026 looks at an Esiliiga clash where Elva are clear favorites. Based on the latest odds, form, and league table, Elva has a 65% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and JK Nomme Kalju 2 has a 15% chance. The match kicks off at 14:00 at Elva’s home ground.

Team Form

Elva’s recent form is encouraging. They have won three of their last five matches, with one draw and one loss. Their last five results: W, D, W, L, W. In their most recent outing, they beat Nomme United 2 away 0-1. At home, they have been solid, with a 1-0 win over FC Maardu and a 2-1 victory against Tartu JK Welco Elekter. That home record of 7 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses from 13 home games shows they are tough to beat on their own turf.

JK Nomme Kalju 2 are struggling badly. Their last five results read W, L, L, L, L, with the only win coming away at FC Tallinn (0-2). They have conceded 12 goals in their last four defeats, including a 2-4 home loss to Tartu JK Welco Elekter and a 0-3 home defeat to Tallinna Kalev. Away from home, they have managed only 2 wins all season, reflecting a very poor travel record.

Head-to-Head Record

Head-to-head between these two is evenly balanced: both sides have 2 wins, and there have been 2 draws in their last six meetings. The most recent encounter was on July 5, 2026, when JK Nomme Kalju 2 and Elva drew 2-2. Earlier this season, on May 2, 2026, JK Nomme Kalju 2 won 4-2 at Elva, but that was a rare away success. In the last five clashes, Elva won 1, drew 2, and lost 2. The only home win for Elva in this period was a 2-1 victory on May 11, 2025.

League Table Positions

Elva sit 4th in the Esiliiga table with 41 points from 26 matches (12 wins, 5 draws, 9 losses). They have scored 43 goals and conceded 37. JK Nomme Kalju 2 are 10th (last) with 22 points, having won only 6 games, drawn 4, and lost 16. Their goal difference is -32 (35 for, 67 against). The 19-point gap between the two sides underscores the huge difference in quality this season. Elva’s home record is 7-1-5, while JK Nomme Kalju 2’s away record is among the worst in the league.

Win Probability: Elva or JK Nomme Kalju 2?

After combining the odds, form, and standings, the win probabilities are: Elva 65%, draw 20%, JK Nomme Kalju 2 15%. The odds imply a home win chance of around 58%, but Elva’s superior league position, strong home form, and the visitors’ dreadful run (four defeats in five) push the real probability higher. The head-to-head is even, but recent performances tip the balance firmly toward the hosts.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Elva as the clear favorites with odds of 1.52 for a home win. The draw is available at 4.40, and a JK Nomme Kalju 2 away win is priced at 4.10. These odds reflect the gulf between the two teams. Based on the stats, Elva are the likely winners. The match outcome prediction is a home win for Elva, possibly with a clean sheet given their solid defensive record at home. The total goals market may lean towards under 2.5, but the main betting tip is to back Elva to win.