Bks Sparta Katowice - Energetyk ROW Rybnik prediction 17 October 2026

Bks Sparta Katowice vs Energetyk ROW Rybnik prediction: the III Liga match on October 17, 2026, sees home side Bks Sparta Katowice take on Energetyk ROW Rybnik. Our analysis gives the visitors a 38% win probability, a draw at 33%, and the home team a 29% chance.

Team Form

Bks Sparta Katowice’s last five results are LDWWD. They lost 1-0 away to Karkonosze Jelenia Gora on October 10, drew 1-1 at home with Warta Gorzow Wielkopolski, beat Miedz II Legnica 2-0 away, beat Kluczbork 2-1 at home, and drew 1-1 away to Rakow Czestochowa II. That form line shows two wins, two draws, and one defeat, with six goals scored and six conceded.

Energetyk ROW Rybnik are unbeaten in five outings – WWWDD. They defeated Sleza Wroclaw 2-1 at home, won 1-0 at LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj, beat Stal Brzeg 4-3 at home, drew 0-0 at Stilon Gorzow, and drew 2-2 at home with Zaglebie Lubin II. They have collected three wins and two draws, scoring nine and conceding six.

Head-to-Head Record

The teams have met only once before. On October 19, 2024, in the IV Liga, Energetyk ROW Rybnik hosted Bks Sparta Katowice and lost 3-2. The head-to-head record therefore stands at one away win for Sparta and no wins for Energetyk.

League Table Positions

Neither Bks Sparta Katowice nor Energetyk ROW Rybnik appears in the top 12 of the overall III Liga standings provided in the data. This suggests both clubs are outside the leading group, likely mid‑table or lower. Exact points and goal differences are not available, but the absence from the top positions underlines how closely matched they are.

Win Probability: Bks Sparta Katowice or Energetyk ROW Rybnik?

Our probability model, which blends recent form, head‑to‑head, and the home/away factor, assigns a 29% chance to a Bks Sparta Katowice victory, a 33% probability of a draw, and a 38% chance of an Energetyk ROW Rybnik win.

Energetyk’s current momentum – five matches without defeat, including three wins – gives them a clear edge. Sparta are more inconsistent, with one loss in their last five. Although Sparta won the only previous meeting (3‑2 away), that success came over a year ago and Energetyk’s present form is stronger. Home advantage adds a few percentage points to Sparta’s prospects, but overall Energetyk ROW Rybnik is the most likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are available for this III Liga fixture in the provided data. Bookmakers have yet to release lines. Based purely on the stats, Energetyk ROW Rybnik emerges as the favourite with a 38% win probability. A draw is the second most probable outcome. Our prediction: Energetyk ROW Rybnik to avoid defeat – a narrow away win or a score draw.