Mbarara City FC - Entebbe prediction 16 September 2026
Mbarara City FC
Entebbe
SC VillaMbarara City FCMbarara City FCBlacks Power/Bukedea TCNtugasazeMbarara City FCMbarara City FCEntebbeMbarara City FCNEC BugolobiUganda PoliceMbarara City FCKampala Capital City AuthorityMbarara City FCMbarara City FCBuhimba United Saints FCMbarara City FCSC VillaLugazi MunicipalMbarara City FCMbarara City FCExpress FCNEC BugolobiMbarara City FCMbarara City FCMaroonsMbarara City FCUganda PoliceUPDF FCMbarara City FCKigezi Homeboys (Kabale Sharp)EntebbeURA FCEntebbeEntebbeUganda PoliceMbarara City FCEntebbeEntebbeLugazi MunicipalEntebbeUPDF FCVipers SCEntebbeKitara FCEntebbeEntebbeBul FCUganda PoliceEntebbeMaroonsEntebbeEntebbeUPDF FCEntebbeCalvary FCVipers SCEntebbeEntebbeKampala Capital City AuthorityMbarara City FCEntebbeEntebbeMbarara City FCMbarara City FCEntebbe| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bul FC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |  SC Villa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 |  NEC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 | Entebbe | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Blacks Power/Bukedea TC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Vipers SC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 11 |
| 7 |  Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Kampala Capital City Authority | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Kitara FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  UPDF FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Lugazi Municipal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Police | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Express FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Mbarara City FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  URA FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 |  Kataka FC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:17 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 |  Kigezi Homeboys (Kabale Sharp) | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Mbarara City FC vs Entebbe Prediction (Sep 16)
Our Mbarara City FC vs Entebbe prediction for the Uganda Premier League match on Sep 16, 2026, at 13:00 gives Entebbe a 40% chance of winning. Mbarara City FC has a 25% chance, while the draw is at 35%. Entebbe enters this fixture as the favorite based on superior league form and head-to-head record.
Mbarara City FC vs Entebbe Prediction: Team Form
Mbarara City FC come into this match in poor form, with only one victory in their last five outings (D, L, L, W, L). On Sep 11, they played out a goalless draw at home against NEC Bugolobi. Before that, they lost 1-0 away to Uganda Police on Aug 29, and suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat at Kampala Capital City Authority on May 23. Their sole win came on May 19, a 2-0 home success over Buhimba United Saints FC. Most recently, on May 13, they were beaten 3-1 at home by SC Villa. Over these five matches, Mbarara City FC scored just 4 goals and conceded 8, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
Entebbe, in contrast, have been in impressive form with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five (L, W, W, D, W). They lost 1-0 at home to Lugazi Municipal on Sep 9, but responded with a 2-1 home win over UPDF FC on Sep 1. They then secured a notable 1-0 away victory at Vipers SC on Aug 28, followed by a 0-0 draw at Kitara FC on Aug 2. Their most recent result was a commanding 4-0 home win against Bul FC on May 23. Entebbe have scored 7 goals and conceded only 2 in these five games, keeping three clean sheets.
Head-to-Head Record
The two previous meetings between these sides have seen one Entebbe win and one draw. On Feb 17, 2026, Entebbe won 1-0 at home. Earlier, on Dec 3, 2025, the match ended 1-1 at Mbarara City FC. Mbarara City FC has yet to beat Entebbe in this fixture.
League Table Positions
Entebbe is currently 5th in the Uganda Premier League with 6 points from 3 matches (2 wins, 1 loss). They have scored 3 goals and conceded 2. Mbarara City FC is not in the top 12, indicating a much lower position. The gap in standings further supports Entebbe as the stronger side.
Win Probability: Mbarara City FC or Entebbe?
Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities: Mbarara City FC has a 25% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Entebbe has a 40% chance. The bookmakers' average odds (home 3.17, draw 2.09, away 2.79) implied a draw as the most likely outcome, but Entebbe's superior recent performances and higher league standing tilt the balance in their favor. Therefore, Entebbe is the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer odds around 3.00โ3.40 for a Mbarara City FC home win, 1.82โ2.79 for the draw, and 2.35โ3.00 for an Entebbe away win. The odds suggest a tight contest with the draw being the favored result in the market. However, our analysis points to an away win as the best prediction. Based on the stats, Entebbe should have the edge.
Mbarara City FC vs Entebbe โ FAQ
- Who will win Mbarara City FC vs Entebbe?
- Entebbe is the predicted winner with a 40% probability, while Mbarara City FC has a 25% chance and the draw stands at 35%. This is based on odds, recent form, and league standings.
- What is the win probability for Entebbe?
- Entebbe has a 40% chance of winning this match. Their strong away form (3 wins in last 5) and 5th-place position give them an advantage over Mbarara City FC, who are outside the top 12.
- When is the Mbarara City FC vs Entebbe match?
- The match is scheduled for Sep 16, 2026, at 13:00 local time. It is a Uganda Premier League fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers offer odds around 3.00โ3.40 for a Mbarara City FC win, 1.82โ2.79 for a draw, and 2.35โ3.00 for an Entebbe win. The draw is the market favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Mbarara City FC and Entebbe?
- In two previous meetings, Entebbe has won once and drawn once. Mbarara City FC has not beaten Entebbe, with the last match ending 1-0 to Entebbe on Feb 17, 2026.