The Leones U19 vs Envigado FC U19 prediction for the Supercopa Juvenil U19 match on July 31, 2026, points towards an away victory. Envigado FC U19 enters the contest as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Leones U19 has a 25% chance and the draw is at 30%. Kick-off is at 15:00, and the odds heavily back the visitors.
Leones U19's last five results: a 1-1 draw at Aguilas Doradas U19 (Jul 17), a 5-1 home win over Total Soccer U19 (Jul 10), a 3-0 away loss to Belen La Nubia Arco Zaragoza U19 (Jul 5), a 0-0 draw at Real Santuario U19 (Jun 12), and a 5-0 home win against Corp Uraba Soccer U19 (Jun 5). This form shows inconsistency, with two big wins but also a heavy defeat and two draws.
Envigado FC U19 have been flawless: a 6-0 home win over Corp Uraba Soccer U19 (Jul 17), a 1-0 home win against Independiente Medellin U19 (Jul 3), a 5-1 home win over Real Santuario U19 (Jun 6), a 3-1 home win against Total Soccer U19 (May 16), and a 3-0 away win at Belen La Nubia Arco Zaragoza U19 (May 8). They have scored 18 goals and conceded only 2 in this run, showcasing both attacking firepower and defensive solidity.
The only previous encounter between these teams was on April 25, 2026, when Envigado FC U19 won 2-0 at home. Leones U19 have yet to score against Envigado, and the head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for Leones, 0 draws, and 1 win for Envigado.
We calculated the probabilities by starting with the inverse of the latest odds (home 3.60, draw 2.45, away 2.15), which gave implied chances of 24.1%, 35.5%, and 40.4% respectively after removing the bookmaker margin. We then adjusted for Envigadoโs perfect form and the H2H advantage, increasing their probability to 45%, while lowering the draw to 30% and Leonesโ win chance to 25%. Home advantage for Leones is the only factor keeping them in contention, but Envigadoโs momentum is hard to ignore.
Bookmakers have set the 1X2 odds at 3.60 for a Leones U19 win, 2.45 for the draw, and 2.15 for an Envigado FC U19 victory. These prices indicate a clear away favorite. Our match prediction aligns with the odds: Envigado FC U19 to win. For betting tips, the away win offers value at 2.15, while the draw no bet on Envigado could be a safer option. Given Envigadoโs scoring form, over 2.5 goals might also be worth considering, though we lack historical goal data for this specific matchup.