Erbaaspor - Aliaga Futbol prediction 3 October 2026

The Erbaaspor vs Aliaga Futbol prediction for this 2 Lig fixture on October 3, 2026, at 13:00 local time suggests a closely fought encounter. Our win probability analysis gives Aliaga Futbol a 35% chance of victory, Erbaaspor a 30% chance, and the draw a 35% probability. Read on for detailed betting tips, team form, and odds.

Team Form

Erbaaspor Recent Results

Erbaaspor's last five matches show a mixed bag: two wins, two losses, and one draw. They started with a 3-0 away win at Adana Demirspor on Sep 27, followed by a 3-2 home victory against Sebat Genclik Spor on Sep 20. However, they then lost 2-1 at Ankaraspor on Sep 13 and 3-1 at Beyoglu Yeni Carsi on Apr 25, before a 1-1 home draw with Ankaragucu on Apr 19. At home this season, they remain unbeaten with one win and one draw, scoring 7 goals and conceding 6 in two matches.

Aliaga Futbol Recent Results

Aliaga Futbol have won three of their last five outings. They beat Sanliurfaspor 2-1 at home on Sep 27, lost heavily 5-0 away to Elazigspor on Sep 19, then secured a 2-0 home win over Isparta 32 Spor Davrazspor on Sep 13. Earlier, they thrashed Arnavutkoy 4-1 away on Sep 6 and drew 0-0 at Mus Spor on May 4. Their away form is inconsistent: one big win, one heavy defeat, and a draw in their last three road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record between Erbaaspor and Aliaga Futbol, as the two sides have never met before. This will be their first competitive clash.

League Table Positions

In the 2 Lig standings, Aliaga Futbol sit 5th with 9 points from 4 matches (3 wins, 1 loss), while Erbaaspor are 10th with 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Erbaaspor have collected 4 points from their two home games (1W, 1D), ranking 8th in the home table. Aliaga Futbol have taken 3 points from two away matches (1W, 1L), placing them outside the top eight in the away standings.

Win Probability: Erbaaspor or Aliaga Futbol?

Based on the latest odds, team form, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Erbaaspor win: 30%
• Draw: 35%
• Aliaga Futbol win: 35%

The bookmakers' odds imply a slightly higher chance for the away side, but Erbaaspor's unbeaten home record and Aliaga's heavy away loss to Elazigspor balance the scales. The draw emerges as a very realistic outcome, reflecting the tight nature of this contest.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer a range of odds for the full-time result. Some of the available prices include: home win at 3.25, draw at 2.45, away win at 2.45; another set shows home 3.30, draw 2.40, away 2.40; a third lists home 3.40, draw 2.38, away 2.30; and a fourth has home 3.15, draw 3.30, away 2.02. Overall, Aliaga Futbol are seen as the marginal favorites, but the odds indicate a very open match.

Our Erbaaspor vs Aliaga Futbol prediction: with both teams showing similar form and no H2H history, a draw looks the safest bet. However, Aliaga's slightly superior league position and attacking threat give them a narrow edge. A 1-1 scoreline could be on the cards.