Zakho - Erbil SC prediction 22 October 2026
Zakho
Erbil SCZakhoErbil SCZakho
Newroz SCAl KarmaZakhoAl JulanZakhoZakhoAl TalabaAl ZawraaZakhoZakhoDiyala FCAl MinaaZakhoZakhoGhaz Al ShamalAl Quwa Al JawiyaZakhoZakhoErbil SCNewroz SCZakhoZakhoAl NajafZakhoDiyala FCAl KarkhZakhoZakhoErbil SCErbil SCAl MosulAjmanErbil SCAl Nafit MaysanErbil SCKarbalaaErbil SCErbil SCAl KarmaErbil SCDiyala FCAl Shorta BagdadErbil SCErbil SCAl MinaaAl KarkhErbil SCErbil SCAl Quwa Al JawiyaErbil SCAl KahrabaaErbil SCAmanat Baghdad SCZakhoErbil SCAl Shorta BagdadErbil SCZakhoErbil SCZakhoErbil SCErbil SCZakhoErbil SCZakhoZakhoErbil SCErbil SCZakho| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Karma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18:9 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Newroz SC | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Al Naft | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Al Shorta Bagdad | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12:5 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 | Erbil SC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Al Zawraa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Al Julan | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |  Duhok | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19:15 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Minaa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Ghaz Al Shamal | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Al Talaba | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Diyala FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Al Mosul | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Zakho | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 |  Al Gharraf FC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Al Karkh | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 |  Al Kahrabaa | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 |  Al Nafit Maysan | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 |  Karbalaa | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:22 | -13 | 6 |
Erbil SC vs Zakho Prediction (Oct 22)
Erbil SC vs Zakho prediction for the Stars League match on Oct 22 at 15:00. Based on the data, Zakho enters as the slight favorite with a 37% win probability, while Erbil SC has a 34% chance. The draw, priced attractively by bookmakers, sits at 29%.
Team Form
Zakho's recent outings raise concerns, with a form line of L, L, D, D, L in their last five matches. They suffered defeats against Newroz SC (0-1), Al Karma (0-1), and a heavy 0-4 loss to Al Zawraa. Draws against Al Julan (1-1) and Al Talaba (0-0) provided the only points during this poor run.
Erbil SC also shows inconsistent form at L, L, D, W, L. In their most recent match, they lost 0-1 at home to Al Mosul, preceded by a high-scoring 4-5 defeat to Ajman in the AGCFF Champions League. A 1-1 draw with Al Nafit Maysan and a 3-0 win over Karbalaa offer glimpses of quality, but back-to-back losses highlight fragility.
Head-to-Head Record
The last five meetings between these teams show a clear pattern. Zakho has won 3, Erbil SC 1, with 1 draw. Zakho secured a 2-1 away win in May 2026 and a 1-0 victory at Erbil SC in February 2026. Earlier matches include a 0-0 draw and a 3-1 win for Zakho in November 2024. Erbil SC's sole win in this H2H sequence was the 2-1 away result in May 2026. Overall, Zakho holds a 3-1-1 advantage.
League Table Positions
In the Stars League standings, Erbil SC is 5th with 18 points from 10 matches (5W, 3D, 2L), scoring 13 and conceding just 5. Zakho is not listed in the current top 12, suggesting a lower position and poorer overall performance. Erbil's away record is strong: 4th in the away table with 8 points from 4 games (2W, 2D, 0L) and a 5:1 goal difference. At home, Erbil has 10 points from 6 matches. Zakho's home form has been disappointing with back-to-back blank sheets in losses.
Win Probability: Erbil SC or Zakho?
Based on the available odds, H2H record, and team form, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Erbil SC win: 34%, Draw: 29%, Zakho win: 37%. The odds imply a tight contest. The bookmakers' average implied probabilities (after removing the margin) give Zakho a narrow edge. This is supported by Zakho's dominant head-to-head record (3 wins in the last 5). However, Zakho's terrible current form (0 wins in 5) and Erbil's solid away defensive record (5 goals scored, 1 conceded in 4 away games) balance the equation. The draw is a strong possibility given both teams' recent results. Zakho has a 37% chance of winning, making them the marginal favorite, but Erbil SC's chances at 34% mean this is a very open match.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer varying odds. One market sees Zakho as a clear favorite with a home win at 3.55, a draw at an unusually low 2.00, and an Erbil SC away win at 2.88. Another set of odds prices the teams more evenly: home win 3.10, draw 3.10, away win 2.15. The discrepancy highlights uncertainty. A low draw price in the first market aligns with the probability and both teams' recent form. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow win for Zakho, but a draw is a safer pick given Erbil's resilience on the road.
Erbil SC vs Zakho โ FAQ
- Who will win Erbil SC vs Zakho?
- Based on our probability analysis, Zakho has a 37% chance of winning, Erbil SC has a 34% chance, and the draw has a 29% chance. Zakho is the slight favorite, but this is a very evenly matched contest where the draw is a strong possibility.
- What is the win probability for Zakho?
- Zakho, playing at home, has a 37% probability of winning. This is based on their strong head-to-head record (3 wins in the last 5 meetings) and the bookmaker odds, slightly adjusted down due to their poor current form of 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- When is the Erbil SC vs Zakho match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 22 at 15:00 local time. It is a Stars League fixture, Iraq's top-flight football competition.
- What are the odds for the match?
- There are two sets of available odds. One bookmaker offers 3.55 for a Zakho win, 2.00 for a draw, and 2.88 for an Erbil SC win. Another prices a Zakho win at 3.10, a draw at 3.10, and an Erbil SC win at 2.15.