| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 23:12 | +11 | 28 | |
| 2 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 24:15 | +9 | 23 | |
| 3 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18:8 | +10 | 20 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:12 | +5 | 18 | |
| 5 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 15 | |
| 6 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:22 | -7 | 15 | |
| 7 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | |
| 8 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 | |
| 9 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 | |
| 10 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 11 | |
| 11 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 | |
| 12 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 10 |
Our FC Fredericia vs Esbjerg prediction for the 1st Division match on Sep 05, 2026, at 12:00 is that FC Fredericia are the strong favorites with a 65% win probability. The home side has been solid at Monjasa Park, while Esbjerg struggle on the road. The betting tips and odds analysis all point to a home win in this Danish 1st Division clash.
FC Fredericia's recent form (last 5 matches): L, L, D, W, D. That sequence includes a 1-2 home loss to Hvidovre, a 1-2 Cup defeat to Odense BK, a 0-0 home draw with Aarhus Fremad, a 3-0 away win at AaB Aalborg, and a 1-1 home draw against Vendsyssel. They have only one win in those five, but at home in the league they are unbeaten in three with one win and two draws.
Esbjerg's recent form: L, W, L, L, L. The lone win was a 5-1 Cup victory at Skive. In the league, they lost 0-2 at home to Vendsyssel, 2-4 at Vejle, 1-2 at home to Hobro, and 1-2 at Hvidovre. That's four defeats in five league outings, with 13 goals conceded overall.
The H2H record strongly favours FC Fredericia. In the last 5 meetings, FC Fredericia have won 4 and drawn 1. The most recent was a friendly in July 2026 (Esbjerg 0-1 FC Fredericia). The previous four league encounters:
Overall H2H: 8 home wins, 3 draws, 11 away wins. The recent trend clearly belongs to the away side in this fixture โ FC Fredericia have won the last four league meetings.
FC Fredericia sit 4th in the 1st Division with 9 points from 6 matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss), scoring 9 and conceding just 4. Their home record is spotless: 1 win, 2 draws, 4 goals scored, 1 conceded. Esbjerg are 11th with 4 points (1 win, 1 draw, 4 losses), a goal difference of 8-13, and their away form is not even in the top 8 of the away standings โ they have lost three of their last four league games on the road.
Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, the win probabilities are: FC Fredericia 65%, draw 20%, Esbjerg 15%. The bookmakers' implied probability from the average home win odds of 1.52 is about 63.4%, and we have adjusted it slightly upward because of FC Fredericia's dominant H2H and Esbjerg's poor away form. The conclusion is clear: FC Fredericia has a 65% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Esbjerg has just a 15% chance.
Bookmakers' odds for the match range from 1.47 to 1.52 for a home win, 2.70 to 5.00 for the draw, and 4.40 to 5.55 for an away win. The first bookmaker listed offers 1.52, 5.00, and 5.55 respectively. Our prediction: FC Fredericia to win. The home side's strong defensive record at Monjasa Park (only 1 goal conceded in 3 home league games) and Esbjerg's leaky defence (13 goals conceded in 6 overall) make a home win the most likely outcome. All betting tips point to the hosts taking all three points.