EsPa - EPS II prediction 11 September 2026

Looking for an EsPa vs EPS II prediction for the Kolmonen clash on September 11, 2026? Our analysis shows EsPa is a clear favorite with a 72% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 18% and EPS II has just a 10% probability of causing an upset.

Team Form

EsPa Recent Results

EsPa have been in solid form over their last five matches, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss. Their most recent outing was a 0-3 defeat away to SexyPoxyt on Sep 4, but prior to that they earned a 2-2 draw at MPS Malmin Palloseura and back-to-back wins over Gilla FC (4-1 away), NuPS (2-0 home), and Pallo-Pojat Akatemia (1-0 home). This run of W-W-W-D-L shows a team that generally finds ways to score and secure points.

EPS II Recent Results

EPS II are struggling for form. Their last five matches have returned no wins, with two draws and three losses (L-D-L-D-L). They lost 0-2 at NuPS on Sep 4, drew 2-2 at home with Gilla FC, lost 0-2 at HooGee, drew 2-2 at home with SexyPoxyt, and suffered a 0-3 defeat at EIF Akademi. With only two goals scored in these five games and eight conceded, EPS II look vulnerable.

Head-to-Head Record

In the five previous meetings between these two sides, EPS II have won three times and EsPa twice, with no draws. The most recent encounter, on June 5, 2026, saw EsPa claim a 4-2 away victory over EPS II, giving them the psychological edge. Goals have flowed in this fixture, but EsPa will be confident after that recent result.

Win Probability: EsPa or EPS II?

Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head data, we calculate the following outcome probabilities: EsPa win 72%, draw 18%, EPS II win 10%. The bookmaker odds (averaging around 1.40 for a home win) imply an EsPa chance of roughly 68%, but we have adjusted that upward due to EsPa’s stronger recent form (three wins in five) and EPS II’s winless streak. The head-to-head, while historically in EPS II’s favor, was overturned in the latest match, reinforcing the home side’s advantage. Overall, EsPa are the strong favorites and the most likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have made EsPa heavy favorites. The best available odds show EsPa as short as 1.13, with the draw around 3.50 and an EPS II win priced as high as 8.50. Averaging the offerings, a home win sits near 1.40. Our prediction: based on all the stats, an EsPa victory is the most probable outcome. Bets on EsPa to win at odds of around 1.40 could offer value given their 72% implied chance. The over/under isn’t quoted, but the head-to-head history suggests goals could be on the cards.