Esteghlal Tehran - Paykan prediction 10 September 2026

Iran ยท Pro LeagueFinished
Esteghlal Tehran
1:0
FT
Paykan
Match Info
CompetitionPro League ยท Iran
Start date
Kick-off
VenueAzadi Stadium, Teheran
Capacity100,000
Surfacegrass
Recent Form
Esteghlal Tehran
D
W
W
D
W
Paykan
D
L
D
L
W
Recent matches ยท Esteghlal Tehran
Pro League
Chador Malu Yazd
Esteghlal Tehran
11
D
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Gol Gohar
10
W
AFC Champions League
Al Gharafa
Esteghlal Tehran
12
W
Pro League
Tractor Sazi
Esteghlal Tehran
11
D
AFC Champions League
Esteghlal Tehran
Al Sadd Doha
30
W
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Paykan
10
W
Pro League
Aluminium Arak
Esteghlal Tehran
00
D
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Persepolis
11
D
Pro League
Foolad Khuzestan
Esteghlal Tehran
00
D
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan
20
W
Pro League
Nassaji Mazandaran
Esteghlal Tehran
01
W
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Mes Shahre Babak
40
W
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Fajr Sepasi
21
W
AFC Champions League Two
Al Hussein Irbid
Esteghlal Tehran
32
L
AFC Champions League Two
Esteghlal Tehran
Al Hussein Irbid
01
L
Recent matches ยท Paykan
Pro League
Paykan
Malavan
11
D
Pro League
Fajr Sepasi
Paykan
20
L
Pro League
Paykan
Shams Azar Qazvin
11
D
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Paykan
10
L
Pro League
Paykan
Sanat Naft Abadan
20
W
Pro League
Zob Ahan
Paykan
10
L
Pro League
Paykan
Esteghlal Khuzestan
00
D
Pro League
Kheybar Khorramabad
Paykan
23
W
Pro League
Paykan
Gol Gohar
00
D
Pro League
Tractor Sazi
Paykan
20
L
Pro League
Paykan
Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan
00
D
Pro League
Aluminium Arak
Paykan
11
D
Pro League
Paykan
Mes Rafsanjan
02
L
Pro League
Chador Malu Yazd
Paykan
20
L
Pro League
Paykan
Esteghlal Tehran
10
W
Head-to-Head ยท summary
5
Esteghlal Tehran
13
Draws
1
Paykan
Previous meetings
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Paykan
10
Pro League
Paykan
Esteghlal Tehran
10
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Paykan
22
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Paykan
21
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Paykan
00
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Paykan
00
Pro League
Paykan
Esteghlal Tehran
03
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Paykan
00
Pro League
Paykan
Esteghlal Tehran
00
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Paykan
11
Pro League
Paykan
Esteghlal Tehran
22
Pro League
Paykan
Esteghlal Tehran
22
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Paykan
00
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Paykan
00
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Paykan
00
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Paykan
32
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Paykan
32
Pro League
Paykan
Esteghlal Tehran
00
Pro League
Esteghlal Tehran
Paykan
22
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Persepolis1062218:5+1320
2Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan1062217:6+1120
3Tractor Sazi962112:2+1020
4Esteghlal Tehran1055012:3+920
5Foolad Khuzestan1054110:5+519
6Aluminium Arak1035211:8+314
7Kheybar Khorramabad1035213:11+214
8Fajr Sepasi1035210:12-214
9Gol Gohar1041510:9+113
10Chador Malu Yazd103439:13-413
11Nassaji Mazandaran102537:9-211
12Paykan102447:10-310
13Malavan92348:12-49
14Esteghlal Khuzestan102357:14-79
15Zob Ahan101546:10-48
16Shams Azar Qazvin101457:12-57
17Sanat Naft Abadan101455:15-107
18Mes Shahre Babak100556:19-135
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Esteghlal Tehran vs Paykan Prediction (Sep 10)

Our Esteghlal Tehran vs Paykan prediction for the Pro League match on Sep 10, 2026, points to a home win, with Esteghlal Tehran holding a 50% chance of victory. The draw probability is 30%, while Paykan have a 20% chance to cause an upset. Below, we break down the key stats and form to explain the forecast.

Team Form

Esteghlal Tehran

Esteghlal Tehran are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording two wins and three draws. They have kept four clean sheets in that run, underlining their defensive strength.

  • Sep 06: Aluminium Arak 0-0 Esteghlal Tehran (D)
  • Sep 02: Esteghlal Tehran 1-1 Persepolis (D)
  • Aug 28: Foolad Khuzestan 0-0 Esteghlal Tehran (D)
  • Aug 23: Esteghlal Tehran 2-0 Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan (W)
  • Aug 18: Nassaji Mazandaran 0-1 Esteghlal Tehran (W)

Paykan

Paykanโ€™s form is mixed with two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five. Away from home they have struggled, losing two of three this season.

  • Sep 06: Paykan 2-0 Sanat Naft Abadan (W)
  • Sep 02: Zob Ahan 1-0 Paykan (L)
  • Aug 28: Paykan 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan (D)
  • Aug 24: Kheybar Khorramabad 2-3 Paykan (W)
  • Aug 18: Paykan 0-0 Gol Gohar (D)

Head-to-Head Record

History is heavily in Esteghlal Tehranโ€™s favour, especially at home. In all competitions, Esteghlal have won four of the 18 meetings, with 13 draws and just one Paykan victory. The last five Pro League encounters tell the same story:

  • Feb 01, 2026: Paykan 1-0 Esteghlal Tehran
  • Sep 21, 2025: Esteghlal Tehran 2-2 Paykan
  • Dec 30, 2023: Esteghlal Tehran 2-1 Paykan
  • Sep 06, 2022: Esteghlal Tehran 0-0 Paykan
  • Apr 05, 2022: Esteghlal Tehran 0-0 Paykan

Esteghlal have never lost at home to Paykan in this sample (1 win, 3 draws). The draw is clearly the most frequent outcome.

League Table Positions

Esteghlal Tehran sit 3rd in the Pro League with 12 points from six games (3 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) and a goal difference of +7 (8 scored, 1 conceded). At home they have been formidable: 2 wins, 1 draw, 7 goals scored and just 1 conceded in three matches.

Paykan are 7th with 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses) and a goal difference of 0 (5 scored, 5 conceded). Away from home they have collected only 3 points from three games, winning once and losing twice, with 3 goals scored and 5 conceded.

Win Probability: Esteghlal Tehran or Paykan?

Based on league positions, home advantage, recent form and the head-to-head record, the win probabilities are calculated as follows:

Esteghlal Tehran win: 50%
Draw: 30%
Paykan win: 20%

Esteghlalโ€™s solid home defence (1 goal conceded in 3 matches) and Paykanโ€™s poor away record (2 losses from 3, 5 goals conceded) give the hosts a clear edge. However, the unusually high number of draws in past meetings (13 in 18 contests) bumps up the draw probability. Paykanโ€™s only win in the last five head-to-heads came at home, and they are unlikely to repeat that success in Tehran.

Odds & Match Prediction

Match odds for this fixture are not yet available from bookmakers. Historically, Esteghlal Tehran would be priced as the clear home favourite, with a draw around 3.50-4.00 and an away win above 5.00 given the statistical model.

Our prediction: Esteghlal Tehran to win. A low-scoring victory (1-0 or 2-0) is the most probable scenario, but with so many past draws a 0-0 or 1-1 stalemate cannot be ruled out. If you are looking for betting tips, backing Under 2.5 goals aligns with the defensive trends of both sides.

Esteghlal Tehran vs Paykan โ€” FAQ

Who will win Esteghlal Tehran vs Paykan?
Esteghlal Tehran are the most likely winners with a 50% probability, the draw is at 30%, and Paykan have a 20% chance. The home sideโ€™s strong defensive record and Paykanโ€™s poor away form make the hosts favourites, but a high number of draws in past meetings adds uncertainty.
What is the win probability for Esteghlal Tehran?
Esteghlal Tehran has a 50% win probability. This is based on their unbeaten start to the Pro League season, a home record of 2 wins and 1 draw with only 1 goal conceded, and historical dominance at home against Paykan.
When is the Esteghlal Tehran vs Paykan match?
The match kicks off on Sep 10, 2026, at 15:30 local time. It is a Pro League fixture from Iranโ€™s top division.
What are the odds for the match?
Match odds are not yet available from bookmakers. Based on the statistical analysis, Esteghlal Tehran would be the clear home favourite, with the draw and away win priced considerably higher. Check closer to kick-off for updated 1X2 odds.
What is the head-to-head record between Esteghlal Tehran and Paykan?
In their last five Pro League meetings, Esteghlal Tehran won once, with three draws and one Paykan victory. All-time, the clubs have met 18 times: Esteghlal Tehran have 4 wins, there have been 13 draws, and Paykan have just 1 win.
Esteghlal Tehran โ€“ Paykan ยท match page