| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:5 | +13 | 20 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | +11 | 20 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:2 | +10 | 20 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 12:3 | +9 | 20 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 19 | |
| 6 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 14 | |
| 7 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 14 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:9 | +1 | 13 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 11 | |
| 12 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 | |
| 17 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 7 | |
| 18 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6:19 | -13 | 5 |
Our Esteghlal Tehran vs Paykan prediction for the Pro League match on Sep 10, 2026, points to a home win, with Esteghlal Tehran holding a 50% chance of victory. The draw probability is 30%, while Paykan have a 20% chance to cause an upset. Below, we break down the key stats and form to explain the forecast.
Esteghlal Tehran are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording two wins and three draws. They have kept four clean sheets in that run, underlining their defensive strength.
Paykanโs form is mixed with two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five. Away from home they have struggled, losing two of three this season.
History is heavily in Esteghlal Tehranโs favour, especially at home. In all competitions, Esteghlal have won four of the 18 meetings, with 13 draws and just one Paykan victory. The last five Pro League encounters tell the same story:
Esteghlal have never lost at home to Paykan in this sample (1 win, 3 draws). The draw is clearly the most frequent outcome.
Esteghlal Tehran sit 3rd in the Pro League with 12 points from six games (3 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) and a goal difference of +7 (8 scored, 1 conceded). At home they have been formidable: 2 wins, 1 draw, 7 goals scored and just 1 conceded in three matches.
Paykan are 7th with 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses) and a goal difference of 0 (5 scored, 5 conceded). Away from home they have collected only 3 points from three games, winning once and losing twice, with 3 goals scored and 5 conceded.
Based on league positions, home advantage, recent form and the head-to-head record, the win probabilities are calculated as follows:
Esteghlal Tehran win: 50%
Draw: 30%
Paykan win: 20%
Esteghlalโs solid home defence (1 goal conceded in 3 matches) and Paykanโs poor away record (2 losses from 3, 5 goals conceded) give the hosts a clear edge. However, the unusually high number of draws in past meetings (13 in 18 contests) bumps up the draw probability. Paykanโs only win in the last five head-to-heads came at home, and they are unlikely to repeat that success in Tehran.
Match odds for this fixture are not yet available from bookmakers. Historically, Esteghlal Tehran would be priced as the clear home favourite, with a draw around 3.50-4.00 and an away win above 5.00 given the statistical model.
Our prediction: Esteghlal Tehran to win. A low-scoring victory (1-0 or 2-0) is the most probable scenario, but with so many past draws a 0-0 or 1-1 stalemate cannot be ruled out. If you are looking for betting tips, backing Under 2.5 goals aligns with the defensive trends of both sides.